The following report was published by The Epoch Times on March 22. ET is so against China's ruling Communist party they even refer to the COVD-19 virus as the "CCP virus." It's the same for NTD, which was founded by the Falun Gong, and which provides a short video news report on the same topic.
But in both cases, the reporters work with published data. Because a cell phone is a requirement for Chinese citizens, at the least the large number of service cancellations over a short period suggest the publicly available figures for the death toll from COVD-19 in China could be understated -- by how much would be the question. Both NTD and ET try to plumb the numbers.
The Closing of 21 Million Cell Phone Accounts in China May Suggest a High CCP Virus Death Toll
By Nicole Hao
March 22, 2020
The Epoch Times via NTD
[NTD video report]
Over 21 million cell phone accounts in China were canceled in the past three months while 840,000 landlines were closed, Beijing authorities announced on March 19. Deaths due to the CCP virus may have contributed to the number of account closings.
Cell phones are an indispensable part of life in China.
“The digitization level is very high in China. People can’t survive without a cell phone,” Tang Jingyuan, a U.S.-based China Affairs commentator told The Epoch Times on March 21. “Dealing with the government for pensions and social security, buying train tickets, shopping… no matter what people want to do, they are required to use cell phones.”
“The Chinese regime requires all Chinese use their cell phones to generate a health code. Only with a green health code are Chinese allowed to move in China now,” Tang said. “It’s impossible for a person to cancel his cell phone.”
China introduced mandatory facial scans on Dec. 1, 2019 to confirm the identity of the person who registered the phone. As early as Sept. 1, 2010, China required all cell phone users to register the phone with their real identification (ID), by which the state can control people’s speech via its large-scale monitoring system.
Furthermore, Chinese people have to bundle their bank accounts and social security account with their cell phone because all these service’s Apps can detect the phone’s SIM card and then check with the state’s database to make sure the number belongs to the person.
Beijing first launched cell phone-based health codes on March 10. All people in China have to install a cell phone app and register their personal health information. Then the app can generate a QR code, which is possible in three colors, to classify people’s health level. Red means the person has an infectious disease. Yellow means the person might have an infectious disease. Green means the person doesn’t have an infectious disease.
21 Million Cell Phone Accounts Close
China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) announced the quantities of phone users in each province in February on March 19. Compared with the previous announcement, which was released on Dec. 18, 2019 for the data in November 2019, both cell phone users and landline users dropped dramatically. In the same period the year before, the number of accounts increased.
The number of cell phone users decreased from 1.600957 billion to 1.579927 billion, which is 21.03 million less. Landline users dropped from 190.83 million to 189.99 million, which is 0.84 million less.
In February 2019, the number increased. According to MIIT’s announcements on March 26, 2019 and Dec. 20, 2018, the cell phone users increased in February 2019 from 1.5591 billion to 1.5835 billion, which is 24.37 million more. The landline users increased from 183.477 million to 190.118 million, which is 6.641 million more.
According to China’s National Bureau of Statistics, the country’s population at the end of 2019 was 4.67 million larger than 2018, and reached 1.40005 billion.
The 2020 decrease in landline users may be due to the nationwide quarantine in February, during which small businesses were shut down. But the decrease in cell phone users can’t be explained in this way.
According to the operation data of all three Chinese cell phone carriers, cell phone accounts increased in December 2019, but dropped steeply in 2020.
China Mobile is the largest carrier, and holds about 60 percent of the Chinese cell phone market. It reported that it lost 7.254 million cell phone accounts in February, and 0.862 million in January. But in Dec. 2019, it gained 3.732 million more users.
China Mobile’s performance in early 2019 was positive. It had 2.411 million more users in January 2019, and 1.091 million more users in February 2019.
China Telecom is the second largest carrier, and holds about 21 percent of the market. It lost 5.6 million users in February 2020, and lost 0.43 million users in January 2020.
In 2019, it gained 1.18 million users in December, 2.96 million in February, and 4.26 million in January.
China Unicom, which hasn’t yet published the data for February, shares the same experience as the other two telecoms in January 2020 and in early 2019. The company lost 1.186 million users in January 2020, but gained 1.962 million users in February 2019 and 2.763 million users in January 2019.
China allows each adult to apply for at most five cell phone numbers. Since Feb. 10, the majority of Chinese students have taken online classes with a cell phone number due to their schools being ordered to keep closed. These students’ accounts are under their parents’ names, which means some patients needed to open a new cell phone account in February.
Analyzing the Numbers
The big question is whether the dramatic drop in cell phone accounts reflects the account closings of those who have died due to the CCP virus.
“It’s possible that some migrant workers had two cell phone numbers before. One is from their hometown, and the other is from the city they work in. In February, they might close the number in the city they work in because they couldn’t go there,” Tang said. Typically, migrant workers would have gone to their home city for the Chinese New Year in January, and then travel restrictions would have prevented their returning to the city where they held a job.
However, because there is a basic monthly fee to hold a cell phone account in China, the majority of migrant workers—the lowest income group—likely only have one cell phone account.
The big question is whether the dramatic drop in cell phone accounts reflects the account closings of those who have died due to the CCP virus.
“It’s possible that some migrant workers had two cell phone numbers before. One is from their hometown, and the other is from the city they work in. In February, they might close the number in the city they work in because they couldn’t go there,” Tang said. Typically, migrant workers would have gone to their home city for the Chinese New Year in January, and then travel restrictions would have prevented their returning to the city where they held a job.
However, because there is a basic monthly fee to hold a cell phone account in China, the majority of migrant workers—the lowest income group—likely only have one cell phone account.
Chinese National Bureau of Statistics announced on April 29, 2019 that China has 288.36 million migrant workers.
On March 17, Meng Wei, spokesman of China’s National Development and Reform Commission, said at the monthly press conference in Beijing that except Hubei, all provinces reported that more than 90 percent of their businesses resumed operations. In Zhejiang, Shanghai, Jiangsu, Shandong, Guangxi, and Chongqing, almost all businesses resumed production.
If both the number of migrant workers and the level of employment are accurate, more than 90 percent of migrant workers have gone back to work.
The economic dislocation caused by shutdowns in China may have also led some people who have an extra cell phone to cancel it. With business poor or stopped, they may not want to carry the extra expense.
“At present, we don’t know the details of the data. If only 10 percent of the cell phone accounts were closed because the users died because of the CCP virus, the death toll would be two million,” Tang concluded.
The reported death toll in China has not matched what can otherwise be known about the situation there.
A comparison with Italy suggests the death toll is significantly underreported. Italy adopted similar measures that the Chinese regime used in China. The CCP virus death toll in Italy of 4,825 translates to a death rate of 9 percent. In China, with a much larger population exposed to the virus, the reported death toll of 3,265 results in a death rate of 4 percent, less than half that reported in Italy.
Activities in the CCP virus epicenter of Hubei province seem to contradict the reported death toll in China. The seven funeral homes in Wuhan, China were reported to be burning bodies 24 hours a day, 7 days a week in late January. China also has used 40 mobile cremators, each capable of burning 5 tons of medical waste and bodies a day, in Hubei Province since Feb. 16.
Lacking data, the CCP virus’ death toll in China is a mystery. The cancellation of 21 million cell phones provides a data point that suggest the real number may be far higher than the official number.
The Epoch Times refers to the novel coronavirus, which causes the disease COVID-19, as the CCP virus because the Chinese Communist Party’s coverup and mismanagement allowed the virus to spread throughout China and create a global pandemic.
[END REPORT]
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