Ocean water desalination, and other extreme measures such as towing giant bags of water across the oceans to drought-stricken regions from ones with plentiful water, tend to run up against human nature's weaker side. Instead of seeing these measures as a warning to trim water-gulping expansion plans, business and governments use the extra water supply to continue recklessly increasing their usage of it. While often not paying attention to the basics of water conservation, such as repairing or upgrading leaky water infrastructures and closely monitoring water usage.
But the bottom line, as a California politician once noted, is that you can't conserve what you don't have. If a region's water supply falls markedly, all measures to conserve water at most stave off the inevitable for a short time.
This said, the most advanced method of purifying sewage water is amazing -- relatively simple in its technology and can save whopping amounts of water.
Waste water recycling for limited use has been in use in San Jose, California since the late 1990s. But last July the San Jose Mercury News reported on the opening of a hi-tech water purification plant that can actually transform raw sewage into very safe drinking water. (The relevant California laws, created before the advances in technology, forbid this use of recycled water but this could be changing within a few years. See the report.)
The report, written in nontechnical fashion. is a must-read for anyone interested in water conservation and drought issues. But here I've posted only two graphics included in the report. They show at a glance how the hi-tech purification works and how much it costs relative to other water conservation measures.
I've also included the link to the comments in response to the article; some are quite interesting and the first one is so funny I'm tempted to quote it in this post, except one has to know a little about California's salinity problems in the Sacramento San-Joaquin Delta estuary to fully appreciate the sarcasm. I will get to a (short) discussion of those problems eventually in a future post.
However, I do have one question after oohing and awing my way through the report. The purified water produced by the hi-tech process is essentially distilled water, or very close to it. Distilled water doesn't contain minerals. I learned from visiting an 'Ask Us Any Dumb Question' website that rainwater doesn't contain much minerals, either. Snow, it turns out, is actually a mineral, although it's not the kind we generally think of as a mineral.
Moving along, my question is whether huge amounts of distilled water poured into the soil in a very low rainfall region will over time dilute the soil's mineral content to the point where it doesn't support crops -- or produces crops so low in mineral content that they're not healthy.
After trying for a half hour to find a website that dealt with my question, I came up dry. Maybe someone else will have better luck with keywords.
And it's possible that even if the mineral content in soil would be greatly diluted, it would happen over a long period of time, and be offset by factors such as mineral-laden blowing sand and dust settling into the soil, and could be further offset by composting and chemical soil additives. In such event it doesn't seem there would be negative effects of large-scale use of purified water for agricultural purposes.
Although I would also want to know if pouring huge amounts of distilled water into freshwater sources and even salt water would over time create an imbalance in the salinity.
Yes I'm being picky. But you know how we are as a race. Once we get hold of an idea that looks like the new promised land we go hog wild. Then a quarter century or so down the line: 'Uh oh. We overlooked something.'
Now it could be that the simple fix for any such problem would be for the hi-tech recycling plant to add some minerals to the purified water. But to my knowledge this hasn't been done as yet.
California drought: San Jose's new high-tech water purification plant to expand recycled water use
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Thursday, March 19
Experts learning that plants are quite limited in ability to adjust to drought conditions
Plants Are Less Prepared for Drought Than Experts Thought
By Brian Stallard
Nature World News
November 15, 2014
As extreme weather patterns continue to change with the global climate and shifting trade winds, drought conditions are expected to become more frequent or even worsen for some parts of the world. That's bad news for a stunning number of plant species, which appear to be even more vulnerable to drought conditions than experts expected.
By Brian Stallard
Nature World News
November 15, 2014
As extreme weather patterns continue to change with the global climate and shifting trade winds, drought conditions are expected to become more frequent or even worsen for some parts of the world. That's bad news for a stunning number of plant species, which appear to be even more vulnerable to drought conditions than experts expected.
That's at least according to a study recently published in the journal Ecology Letters, which details how plants "plasticity" their ability to adapt to changing environments, is disturbingly low when it comes to reacting to sudden drought.
According to the study, plants are traditionally "masters of plasticity." Senior author Lawren Sack explained in a recent release that they can change their size, branching patterns, leaf colors, and even their internal biochemistry to adjust to changes in climate.
That may sound like good news, but while "plants have evolved this amazing ability to sync with their environment... they are facing their limits," Megan Bartlett, the study's lead author added.
This was determined after the researchers and their colleagues compiled a set of data from numerous species from various ecosystems around the world. They found that plants can effectively adapt to increased rainfall by increasing their tolerance to salinity concentrations. However, when the opposite happens, the very nature of their cell structure means there is little they can do.
That's because the strength of their cell walls - what keeps a plant's stem rigid - is dependent on high saturation of water. If a plant continues to grow without enough moisture to fill these new cells, the plant wilts.
"During a drought, plants have to choose between closing their stomata and risking starvation, and continuing to photosynthesize and risking cell damage from wilting," said Sack.
The researchers measured the "turgor loss point" - the level of dehydration that causes leaves to wilt in their data set and found that adjustments of this point loss are small at best.
"This means they have only limited wiggle room as droughts become more serious," Sack added. "On the plus side, this discovery means we can estimate species' drought tolerance relatively simply. We can make a reasonable drought tolerance measurement for most species regardless of time of year or whether we are sampling during wet or dry conditions."
[END REPORT]
********
Wednesday, March 18
On the risks of being too clean
Hand Wash the Dishes and Protect the Kids from Allergies
Children whose families have a habit of washing dishes by hand were linked to a lower risk of developing allergies as compared to the ones whose families use a machine dishwasher.
We all buy machines to do our work like washing dishes etc. But researchers say that it may be a good thing that some of the dirt remains on the dishes. The study supports a so-called hygiene hypothesis that says that early exposure to an array of various microbes is a good thing and is needed to help children develop a healthy immune system that ultimately provides protection against allergies and other diseases.
The latest study was published in the journal Pediatrics. It involved around 1,029 Swedish children who were aged between 7 and 8. Families were given questionnaires to fill out about the history of children’s asthma, rhinoconjunctivitis, and eczema.
--By Muhammad Ashan / SMN Weekly - February 23, 2015
Children whose families have a habit of washing dishes by hand were linked to a lower risk of developing allergies as compared to the ones whose families use a machine dishwasher.
We all buy machines to do our work like washing dishes etc. But researchers say that it may be a good thing that some of the dirt remains on the dishes. The study supports a so-called hygiene hypothesis that says that early exposure to an array of various microbes is a good thing and is needed to help children develop a healthy immune system that ultimately provides protection against allergies and other diseases.
The latest study was published in the journal Pediatrics. It involved around 1,029 Swedish children who were aged between 7 and 8. Families were given questionnaires to fill out about the history of children’s asthma, rhinoconjunctivitis, and eczema.
--By Muhammad Ashan / SMN Weekly - February 23, 2015
[END REPORT]
********
********
Israel is not "increasingly isolated from the rest of the world"
All right, that does it. I was trying to catch up on the latest weather report at WTOP All News Radio (it's supposed to snow tomorrow night in Washington) when I heard an analysis of how the Obama Administration is viewing Benjamin Netanyahu's political victory. It troubled me.
The analysis was delivered to WTOP by Dan Raviv, an American national correspondent for CBS News. Never heard of him before or if I did it was in one ear and out the other. From the Wikipedia article about him, he specializes in writing about Israel-U.S. relations and Israel's intelligence-gathering.
Contrary to Ravi's analysis for WTOP, Israel is not increasingly isolated from the rest of the world. Its government has formed increasingly good relations in the part of the world that counts in this era. That being several middle-eastern governments, to include Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and just about every other Arab country that's greatly alarmed about Iranian military-backed expansion of influence in the region and North Africa -- and alarmed about the fact that the Obama Administration is outright encouraging the expansion and its militarism.
The improved relations between Israel and these governments can't be considered an alliance but they count in the areas that today most count in the region -- militarily and with intelligence sharing. They all know now that either they hang together or they hang separately, to quote Benjamin Franklin in a somewhat different context.
So another of Dan Raviv's remarks, that Israel needs the United States, has to be viewed in context to the present situation. President Obama's policies in MENA have been perceived as so dangerous by many Arab governments that he unwittingly drove those governments and Israel into better relations.
Once seeing the world from that very different perspective, Israel probably won't be so intent on cementing good relations with the next American administration. Yet it would be best for all concerned if there was a healthy distance between the two governments.
Remember that Jews are Semites, as are Arabs. It is time for leaders in both ethnic groups to ponder they have a much longer history with each other than any of them do with the United States, and that constantly putting the USA between them as a shield and battering ram creates nothing but vicious cycles.
To put this another way: The Jewish people who made Israel independent were very European in their thinking and actions -- and very strange, from an Arab perspective. At least Arabs understood the British and French, no matter what they thought of them. But these newcomer Jews prancing around in shorts, trying to make the desert bloom and spouting Hegel and Marx were seen as crazy. So of course they were treated by sensible Arabs as extremely dangerous interlopers. But now they've been back on the olde sod long enough to think and act more like natives of the region.
So while there are many historical reasons why neither side was willing to consider a new way forward, conditions for change are improving. They can't change, however, if American and European policies won't let them.
Which returns me to Dan Raviv's remark about Israel's increasing isolation from the world. The only increasing isolation for Israel is from 'Western-style' democracies. Those are notably West European ones, which for decades have invested heavily in promoting the cause for a Palestinian state.
Of course, Washington is in accord with the West European view, which has always been backed by Muslim-majority countries. But this view is now backed by tactics aimed at forcing Israel to accept a Palestinian state on terms the western governments deem fair to the Palestinians.
The view completely ignores how much things have changed for Arab governments in the Middle East-North Africa during the past five years -- and in particular since the ill-fated Arab Spring uprisings, which were overtly supported by the Obama Administration.
The view also ignores the fact that things have changed in the Palestinian territories since the days of Yasser Arafat. Today, every Palestinian with a whit of self-preservation is sick to death of Hamas, and knows that the only thing the Palestinian Authority does well is collect buckets of aid money from Western governments and ngos that Palestinians who aren't in the elite circle never see.
Here I'm not talking about Palestinian expats, who don't have to actually live with the PA and Hamas. They're still operating under the kind of delusions that tend to keep all expat communities supporting initiatives back home long after the initiatives have proved to be counterproductive, or events on the ground have greatly changed.
Yet none of my observations were even hinted at in Dan Raviv's analysis, even though it's open knowledge in American intelligence circles and throughout the Middle East that Israel has better relations with the countries I named. I don't know or care whether he was simply repeating the Obama Administration's talking points or getting his information from back issues of TIME magazine. My concern is that the Obama Administration, to include the State Department, is getting its information about the entire Middle East and North Africa from intelligence assessments that are five years old.
Whether they're informed or not, the administration's policies in MENA have wreaked so much havoc I would plead with President Obama to stick with his original determination to lead the world from behind. Much farther behind.
*******
The analysis was delivered to WTOP by Dan Raviv, an American national correspondent for CBS News. Never heard of him before or if I did it was in one ear and out the other. From the Wikipedia article about him, he specializes in writing about Israel-U.S. relations and Israel's intelligence-gathering.
Contrary to Ravi's analysis for WTOP, Israel is not increasingly isolated from the rest of the world. Its government has formed increasingly good relations in the part of the world that counts in this era. That being several middle-eastern governments, to include Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and just about every other Arab country that's greatly alarmed about Iranian military-backed expansion of influence in the region and North Africa -- and alarmed about the fact that the Obama Administration is outright encouraging the expansion and its militarism.
The improved relations between Israel and these governments can't be considered an alliance but they count in the areas that today most count in the region -- militarily and with intelligence sharing. They all know now that either they hang together or they hang separately, to quote Benjamin Franklin in a somewhat different context.
So another of Dan Raviv's remarks, that Israel needs the United States, has to be viewed in context to the present situation. President Obama's policies in MENA have been perceived as so dangerous by many Arab governments that he unwittingly drove those governments and Israel into better relations.
Once seeing the world from that very different perspective, Israel probably won't be so intent on cementing good relations with the next American administration. Yet it would be best for all concerned if there was a healthy distance between the two governments.
Remember that Jews are Semites, as are Arabs. It is time for leaders in both ethnic groups to ponder they have a much longer history with each other than any of them do with the United States, and that constantly putting the USA between them as a shield and battering ram creates nothing but vicious cycles.
To put this another way: The Jewish people who made Israel independent were very European in their thinking and actions -- and very strange, from an Arab perspective. At least Arabs understood the British and French, no matter what they thought of them. But these newcomer Jews prancing around in shorts, trying to make the desert bloom and spouting Hegel and Marx were seen as crazy. So of course they were treated by sensible Arabs as extremely dangerous interlopers. But now they've been back on the olde sod long enough to think and act more like natives of the region.
So while there are many historical reasons why neither side was willing to consider a new way forward, conditions for change are improving. They can't change, however, if American and European policies won't let them.
Which returns me to Dan Raviv's remark about Israel's increasing isolation from the world. The only increasing isolation for Israel is from 'Western-style' democracies. Those are notably West European ones, which for decades have invested heavily in promoting the cause for a Palestinian state.
Of course, Washington is in accord with the West European view, which has always been backed by Muslim-majority countries. But this view is now backed by tactics aimed at forcing Israel to accept a Palestinian state on terms the western governments deem fair to the Palestinians.
The view completely ignores how much things have changed for Arab governments in the Middle East-North Africa during the past five years -- and in particular since the ill-fated Arab Spring uprisings, which were overtly supported by the Obama Administration.
The view also ignores the fact that things have changed in the Palestinian territories since the days of Yasser Arafat. Today, every Palestinian with a whit of self-preservation is sick to death of Hamas, and knows that the only thing the Palestinian Authority does well is collect buckets of aid money from Western governments and ngos that Palestinians who aren't in the elite circle never see.
Here I'm not talking about Palestinian expats, who don't have to actually live with the PA and Hamas. They're still operating under the kind of delusions that tend to keep all expat communities supporting initiatives back home long after the initiatives have proved to be counterproductive, or events on the ground have greatly changed.
Yet none of my observations were even hinted at in Dan Raviv's analysis, even though it's open knowledge in American intelligence circles and throughout the Middle East that Israel has better relations with the countries I named. I don't know or care whether he was simply repeating the Obama Administration's talking points or getting his information from back issues of TIME magazine. My concern is that the Obama Administration, to include the State Department, is getting its information about the entire Middle East and North Africa from intelligence assessments that are five years old.
Whether they're informed or not, the administration's policies in MENA have wreaked so much havoc I would plead with President Obama to stick with his original determination to lead the world from behind. Much farther behind.
*******
How serious is NATO about starting a war with Russia?
Listen to Dr Stephen F. Cohen's discussion last night with John Batchelor for the latest on the gathering storm. (podcast). And by the way, the John Batchelor Show is just like the movie "Any Given Sunday" in the key respect. The people who left the theater when the credits started rolling on the screen missed how the story actually ended. Just so, Batchelor will often take an interview down to the last seconds on the clock before delivering the really big news..
Moving along, the storm has been gathering for more than year, prodded along by the Get Russia crowds in London, Brussels, and Washington. Putin is now under great pressure from hardliners in the Russian military and his own administration to make a stronger stand against what almost everyone in Russia believes is American-led provocations. This is even among Russians who hate Putin or want the country to get closer to the kind of government the European Union favors.
By the end of the Cold War one couldn't find a more pro-American people than the Russians so it took a lot to bring them to the point where they are today. They believe America as trying to wipe out their country.
So it's no longer a question from the Russian side about whether NATO is serious about going to war with Russia over Ukraine. In their view NATO, pushed by the United Sates, is already at war and setting up conditions to escalate it. In their view NATO won't stop at anything. No amount of negotiations, no concessions from Russia, nothing will stop NATO. Whatever agreements Russia makes to deescalate the situation in Ukraine, NATO finds ways to sabotage them.
Is that last true? The truth in this case is a matter for debate just because there's so much fog of war and propaganda from all sides about the fighting in Ukraine. What is true beyond debate is that NATO has never stopped trying to expand.
Add that to big gaps in reporting from Ukraine and even a minor accidental incident can light the powder keg. Should the possibility be enough to deter overt U.S.-NATO military actions against Russia? No, provided NATO governments in the original alliance ask how they plan to act coherently these days with Turkey as a member.
There are several other questions West European governments, and indeed the entire European Union, need to ask about NATO's continued existence before they can develop a coherent cause for overt military action against Russia.
From its side Washington doesn't want to do soul-searching about NATO.
So the real question right now is how serious NATO is about itself. Because nobody wants to resolve the question the United States and Europe are blindly slouching toward war with Russia.
********
Moving along, the storm has been gathering for more than year, prodded along by the Get Russia crowds in London, Brussels, and Washington. Putin is now under great pressure from hardliners in the Russian military and his own administration to make a stronger stand against what almost everyone in Russia believes is American-led provocations. This is even among Russians who hate Putin or want the country to get closer to the kind of government the European Union favors.
By the end of the Cold War one couldn't find a more pro-American people than the Russians so it took a lot to bring them to the point where they are today. They believe America as trying to wipe out their country.
So it's no longer a question from the Russian side about whether NATO is serious about going to war with Russia over Ukraine. In their view NATO, pushed by the United Sates, is already at war and setting up conditions to escalate it. In their view NATO won't stop at anything. No amount of negotiations, no concessions from Russia, nothing will stop NATO. Whatever agreements Russia makes to deescalate the situation in Ukraine, NATO finds ways to sabotage them.
Is that last true? The truth in this case is a matter for debate just because there's so much fog of war and propaganda from all sides about the fighting in Ukraine. What is true beyond debate is that NATO has never stopped trying to expand.
Add that to big gaps in reporting from Ukraine and even a minor accidental incident can light the powder keg. Should the possibility be enough to deter overt U.S.-NATO military actions against Russia? No, provided NATO governments in the original alliance ask how they plan to act coherently these days with Turkey as a member.
There are several other questions West European governments, and indeed the entire European Union, need to ask about NATO's continued existence before they can develop a coherent cause for overt military action against Russia.
From its side Washington doesn't want to do soul-searching about NATO.
So the real question right now is how serious NATO is about itself. Because nobody wants to resolve the question the United States and Europe are blindly slouching toward war with Russia.
********
Obama learns Israel isn't Chicago
Of course there is an Israel lobby in Washington. I well remember in every American presidential election AIPAC busing Republicans to the polls.
I really don't want to think of anything else to say at this moment about the Obama Administration and the U.S. Department of State under Obama.
Congratulations, Bibi.
********
Tuesday, March 17
California's drought isn't man-made. The response to it is.
I've pulled the following quotes from Adam Nagourney's March 17 report for The New York Times (As California Drought Enters 4th Year, Conservation Efforts and Worries Increase):
> "Any hope climatologists had that California would be rescued again by a wet El Niño winter weather system is fading with the arrival of spring."
> "[T] he Sierra Nevada snowpack, which is counted on to provide 30 percent of the state’s water supply as it melts through early summer, is at its second-lowest level on record. [...] The March 3 measurement of the statewide snowpack was the water equivalent of five inches, or 19 percent of the average for that date. That is barely above the record low snowpack measurement from 1991, according to state officials. “That’s pretty grim,” Mr. Anderson said. “We were hoping for the number of inches to be in the 30s."
> “Last year people thought we were in a regular three-year drought cycle and that it would rain next year,” said Felicia Marcus, the board’s chairwoman.
****
The response to the drought was shaped by hope and assumptions. So what else is new about human nature?
But they were thinking in terms of drought, not record high temperatures piled on top of record low precipitation, which is happening now. So there's an eerie inadequacy to the emergency measures, as if they're running in slow motion.
Here are a few more quotes from the Times report:
"State regulators are prepared this week to impose a new round of water conservation rules, including sharp restrictions on landscape watering and orders to restaurants not to serve water to customers unless asked."
> "And with paucity and increased prices has come water theft. John A. Coleman, a member of the board of directors of the East Bay Municipal Utility District in Oakland and president of the Association of California Water Agencies, said the East Bay agency wanted to impose serious fines on water thieves for the first time. “It’s a problem, and it’s becoming more of a problem as the drought intensifies,” he said. “I’m not one who is big on penalties, but this is not right.”
> "Pushing for more conservation, the Sacramento City Council voted last month to order faster installation of water meters across the city; the deadline has been moved to 2020 from 2024."
> "In Santa Barbara, the desalination plant is being taken out of mothballs at a cost of about $40 million. “Desalination is our absolute last resort,” said Helene Schneider, the mayor. “Unfortunately, given the way the drought is going, we are now at that last resort.”
Plenty more in the Times report about the current status of the water shortage crisis in California and how individuals and governing entities in the state are responding to it.
********
Therapy Kitteh
"Iris Grace Halmshaw, the 5-year-old British girl in the photo above, was diagnosed with autism in 2011. Her therapy cat Thula has helped her gain enough confidence to speak to others, as well as providing additional inspiration for her painting -- another component of her therapy."
From Alena Hall's delightful, illuminating photoessay for The Huffington Post, 11 Reasons Your Crazy Cat Obsession Makes You Happier And Healthier
********
From Alena Hall's delightful, illuminating photoessay for The Huffington Post, 11 Reasons Your Crazy Cat Obsession Makes You Happier And Healthier
********
Monday, March 16
Gondwanaland to the rescue for beleaguered gardeners in parched California
This licuala ramseyi from northern Australia is an ideal, slow growing palm for the small garden.
Voltaire Moise/Special to West Hawaii Today
The March 16 Guardian report I quoted in the last post (California has one year of reservoir water left) mentioned:
On Tuesday, [California's] State Water Resources Control Board is scheduled to vote on a conservation measure that would limit landscape watering, the strictest mandate directed at such water use the state has considered.I haven't seen the mandate's wording but it would have very limited application, if any, to properties in California that can claim exemption from watering restrictions because they're in an area prone to wildfires, or if not watering adequately would make the vegetation into a big fire hazard. That last would probably include private estates that have grounds as large as a botanical garden.
But while it's late in the day, there is an alternative to the dilemma posed by severely restricted landscape watering, and that's to use drought-resistant plantings. I don't have a link on hand to reference but I have seen reports from last year that as the drought continued, professional landscapers in California received many requests for just such plantings.
And there's always been a 'native plantings' cadre among gardeners in the state. It just needs more encouragement and maybe a bigger or more appealing selection of plants from which to choose. It's like dieting; nutrition experts have learned that recommending healthier food choices isn't enough. People need to make the choices a part of their lives. So today many nutritionists work with chefs to come up with healthy food dishes that people can really enjoy eating for the rest of their lives. So it's a matter of translating this concept to landscaping and gardening in drought-prone areas.
So I'm going to toss in several passages from the following report from West Hawaii Today on the growing interest among gardeners and landscapers in that state in indigenous plants from other parts of the world, specifically, Australia, that do well in the Hawaii climate, and which are drought resistant. The emphasis throughout the report is mine:
Many Australian natives prove drought resistant
By Norman Bezona
Special to West Hawaii Today
July 20, 2014
Information in this report is supplied by the University of Hawaii College of Tropical Agriculture and Human Resources
Waterwise gardening starts with planting drought tolerant plants. Many Australian native plants fit this bill. Along with Hawaiian native plants, they can help us cut our water bill.
It seems that all life has cycles. Ideas, attitudes and philosophies have cycles as well. We shift from conservative to liberal and back. Clothing styles cycle as well. Even landscape design and plant popularity has cycles. Often, these swings of the pendulum hit an extreme before a movement back in the other direction.
In plant use, we are swinging toward using local, native plants, and a few landscape designers are using only native plants. This is exciting since native plants have been ignored for a long time. It is important to protect and use our native plants in the landscape and at the same time be on the lookout for rare, beautiful and possibly endangered plants such as those from Australia to enhance our local environment. Some of these can grow where nothing else will.
Hawaii is known for its varied and unusual plant life. Many of these plants have been introduced from the West Indies, South America and Africa. But few plants have adapted themselves so well as those from tropical and subtropical Australia.
Australia is a vast and ancient continent. This isolated land mass still contains some lifeforms that became extinct on other continents eons ago. It is not surprising that many plants from Australia adapt well to the Hawaiian Islands. With every climactic zone imaginable in Australia, plus an extremely long period of evolution, there are hundreds of species we can grow here. Less than 1 percent has been introduced.
Take for example the paperbark tree. It has long been used here in windbreaks. It, like the eucalyptus, is closely related to our native ohia. Our native honey creepers actually feed on the necter of these trees like they do the ohia. I don’t usually recommend the paperbark because it is so common and the flower smell is reminiscent of cooking mashed potatoes. However, there are scores of other species, some with lavender, pink, yellow or red flowers. They vary from bushes to tall trees. My favorite has the form of a weeping willow.
In some tropical countries, paperbark is planted for reforestation purposes since it has some commercial use. The common paperback is well behaved in Hawaii, but in the Florida Everglades, it has done too well because of the draining of that region. This creates an ecological vacuum that the paperbark trees found ideal. Now, instead of sawgrass, some areas are forested with paperback.
The colorful bottlebrushes also include Callistemons. Dozens of species are available in Australian nurseries varying from small evergreen shrubs to large trees. Their flowers are made up of clusters of stems that look like the common kitchen bottle cleaner. Flowers vary from white and yellow to pink and red. They are followed by woody seed capsules, which look like beads pressed into the bark of the stem.
Advantages of the bottlebrushes are their insect and disease resistance, tolerance of drought and wet conditions and overall attractive appearance.
[...]
All right, that's enough discussion of plants for this blog but there's plenty more in the report that would be of interest to Californians who despair they'll ever have anything like a garden again.
********
California has one year of reservoir water left
The following passages are from a March 12 editorial in the Los Angeles Times that has been widely quoted in other press. The author is Jay Famiglietti, who's been quoted many times in the past few years in connection with the findings of NASA's GRACE satellite system; he's the "senior water scientist at the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory/Caltech and a professor of Earth system science at UC Irvine":
[...]
NASA data reveal that total water storage in California has been in steady decline since at least 2002, when satellite-based monitoring began, although groundwater depletion has been going on since the early 20th century.
Right now the state has only about one year of water supply left in its reservoirs, and our strategic backup supply, groundwater, is rapidly disappearing. California has no contingency plan for a persistent drought like this one (let alone a 20-plus-year mega-drought), except, apparently, staying in emergency mode and praying for rain.
In short, we have no paddle to navigate this crisis.[...]
Data from NASA satellites show that the total amount of water stored in the Sacramento and San Joaquin river basins — that is, all of the snow, river and reservoir water, water in soils and groundwater combined — was 34 million acre-feet below normal in 2014. That loss is nearly 1.5 times the capacity of Lake Mead, America's largest reservoir.
Statewide, we've been dropping more than 12 million acre-feet of total water yearly since 2011. Roughly two-thirds of these losses are attributable to groundwater pumping for agricultural irrigation in the Central Valley.
Farmers have little choice but to pump more groundwater during droughts, especially when their surface water allocations have been slashed 80% to 100%. But these pumping rates are excessive and unsustainable. Wells are running dry. In some areas of the Central Valley, the land is sinking by one foot or more per year.
As difficult as it may be to face, the simple fact is that California is running out of water — and the problem started before our current drought. NASA data reveal that total water storage in California has been in steady decline since at least 2002, when satellite-based monitoring began, although groundwater depletion has been going on since the early 20th century.
Several steps need be taken right now. First, immediate mandatory water rationing should be authorized across all of the state's water sectors, from domestic and municipal through agricultural and industrial. The Metropolitan Water District of Southern California is already considering water rationing by the summer unless conditions improve. There is no need for the rest of the state to hesitate. The public is ready. A recent Field Poll showed that 94% of Californians surveyed believe that the drought is serious, and that one-third support mandatory rationing.[...]
Jay Famiglietti goes on to give three additional urgent recommendations, and which amount to saying there must be an all-out effort now by both the public and all concerned agencies to address the state's water shortage crisis by every means possible.
A report filed today by Amanda Holpuch for the Guardian discusses the LA Times op-ed, and emphasizes that the poll referenced by Famiglietti (and released in February) found that 61 percent of respondents still favored voluntary reductions in water use, not mandated rationing.
The Guardian report also touches on the ongoing debates about the cause of the state's extreme drought, now in its fourth year, and its length:Scientists are working to determine what role climate change has played in California’s drought. Earlier this month, a study by Stanford researchers showed that high temperatures increase the risk of drought conditions
Last year, two research teams said in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society that they could not definitively pin the drought on climate change.********
A third team, which includes a Stanford researcher from the previous study, said that rare atmospheric conditions are exacerbating the drought.
Population Growth and Biochar
From the following NatGeo article's comment section:
"[...] Using biochar for fertilizer instead of chemicals increases food output by almost 800%, and biochar is not even the best organic method for increasing production. Read Fred Pearce's The Coming Population Crash, in which he proves that the trends are already locked into place that will reduce the global population by about 4 billion during the next 30 years without any draconian measures, panic or government programs." (Rod Van Mechelen)
I've never heard of biochar (neither did the reader who replied to Van Mechelen) or Fred Pearce and I won't take the time now to look into his argument, but it would present a striking contrast to the population estimates from mainstream demographers, which, from the excerpts I feature from the NatGeo article, are in considerable disagreement.
As World’s Population Booms, Will Its Resources Be Enough for Us?
New projections of escalating growth increase the tension between humanity’s expanding needs and what the planet can provide.
By Dennis Dimick, National Geographic
PUBLISHED SEPTEMBER 21, 2014
There are more than 7 billion people on Earth now, and roughly one in eight of us doesn't have enough to eat. The question of how many people the Earth can support is a long-standing one that becomes more intense as the world's population—and our use of natural resources—keeps booming.
We've been on a big growth spurt during the past century or so. In 1900, demographers had the world's population at 1.6 billion, in 1950 it was about 2.5 billion, by 2000 it was more than 6 billion. Now, there are about 7.2 billion of us.
In recent years we've been adding about a billion people every 12 or 13 years or so. Precisely how many of us are here right now is also a matter of debate, depending on whom you consult:The United Nations offers a range of current population figures and trends, the U.S. Census Bureau has its own estimate, and the Population Reference Bureau also tracks us.
The new UN study out this week projects that the world's population growth may not stop any time soon. That is a reversal from estimates done five years ago, when demographers—people who study population trends—were projecting that by 2045, world population likely would reach about 9 billion and begin to level off soon after.
But now, the UN researchers who published these new projections in the journal Science say that a flattening of population growth is not going to happen soon without rapid fertility declines—or a reduction in the number of children per mother—in most parts of sub-Saharan Africa that are still experiencing rapid population growth. As Rob Kunzig wrote for National Geographic, the new study estimates that "there's an 80 percent chance . . . that the actual number of people in 2100 will be somewhere between 9.6 and 12.3 billion."
[...]
Measuring Our Rising Impact
As a result of this massive expansion of our presence on Earth, scientists Ehrlich, John Holdren, and Barry Commoner in the early 1970s devised a formula to measure our rising impact, called IPAT, in which (I)mpact equals (P)opulation multiplied by (A)ffluence multiplied by (T)echnology.
The IPAT formula, they said, can help us realize that our cumulative impact on the planet is not just in population numbers, but also in the increasing amount of natural resources each person uses. The graphic above, which visualizes IPAT, shows that the rise in our cumulative impact since 1950—rising population combined with our expanding demand for resources—has been profound.
IPAT is a useful reminder that population, consumption, and technology all help shape our environmental impact, but it shouldn’t be taken too literally. University of California ecologist John Harte has said that IPAT ". . . conveys the notion that population is a linear multiplier. . . . In reality, population plays a much more dynamic and complex role in shaping environmental quality."
One of our biggest impacts is agriculture. Whether we can grow enough food sustainably for an expanding world population also presents an urgent challenge, and this becomes only more so in light of these new population projections. Where will food for an additional 2 to 3 billion people come from when we are already barely keeping up with 7 billion? Such questions underpin a 2014 National Geographic series on the future of food.
As climate change damages crop yields and extreme weather disrupts harvests, growing enough food for our expanding population has become what The 2014 World Food Prize Symposium calls "the greatest challenge in human history."
[...]
[END REPORT]
[END REPORT]
Dope, Deforestation, and Desertification
Desertification and Deforestation
The water shortage crisis in large parts of California is almost always referred to as a drought, which of course it is. Yet this has tended to divert attention from the increasing desertification happening in parts of the state.
Desertification can be the result of any one of several factors or combination of such. Yet deforestation is one precipitant of desertification -- or it develops into a tipping point; i.e., if a macro weather system is creating a trend for arid conditions in a region, deforestation can exacerbate the trend. This kind of situation relates as much to micro climate as macro climate.
Critical Importance of Microclimates
In a post last year about widescale mountaintop removal in the Appalachians I noted that scientists studying the environmental impacts of the mountaintop removals had started speculating that the removals, which can include destruction of large swaths of mature forests,were be negatively affecting the entire microclimate in the region. The scientists were launching research to study this angle.
The same kind of research might yield a new view of the drought in California's San Joaquin Valley. It would also be helpful to know if there's a correlation between the recent widescale deforestation in the region to make way for large commercial marijuana (pot) growing operations and the desertification in the region during the past 3-4 years.
Of course the greatest damage in this regard over the long term in California would be due to establishing larger and larger fields for food crops. But the biggest problem with the influx of large-scale marijuana farming into the Central Valley -- particularly the San Joaquin Valley -- during the past few years is that there aren't 'fields' that can be readily spotted by authorities. Many farmers in the Valley who grew food crops started interspersing them with larger and larger stands of marijuana plants.
As to how much deforestation has occurred in the state that specifically relates to commercial pot farming, I don't think that's been nailed down. But from this February 2014 report by Jason Best (Marijuana Farms Push California Salmon to the Brink of Extinction) it's been extensive.
Speaking of deforestation and mountaintop removal, it so happens that environmental damage done by the removals is of the same kind that happens with large scale marijuana cultivation: deforestation, dammed and diverted rivers and streams, streams filled up with dirt, polluted freshwater and groundwater, etc.
It further happens that the mountaintop removal 'belt' in Appalachian states is also home to large scale illicit marijuana operations. Yet to my knowledge there has been no study of the correlation. In fact, published studies of the environmental impact of marijuana operations in the Appalachians are scarcer than hen's teeth.
How Numerous Lost Jobs Can Impact Microclimates
I think there's a reasonable explanation for this. When the strip mining operations associated with mountaintop removal replaced regular deep mining, many coal miners lost not only their job but also their vocation. And since the 2008 financial crash, it's been even harder to find employment in the poorer U.S. states or regions in the Appalachians. The result is that the state governments, facing high unemployment numbers, tended to look the other way about the proliferation of illicit pot growing operations.
And whatever environmental damage was due to pot growing could easily be chalked up to the mountaintop removal operations, and probably has been in several cases.
A parallel situation happened in California in areas with widescale logging operations. As the operations were permanently wound down on a large scale, people who'd earned their living in logging, and couldn't find other employment, turned to pot farming.
During the weather's salad days these ways of earning income, no matter how destructive to the immediate environment, have to be tolerated. But when the weather pattern turns against humans, whatever microclimates that result from human activities begin to take critical import. A vicious cycle can occur, in which the micro climates steadily worsen as droughts from a macro climate pattern increase.
Eventually the cumulative effect of the degenerated micro climates impacts a macro weather pattern. At that point an entire continent can be put at risk.
Dope, Wildfires, and Deforestation
Accurate statistics about the relationship of outdoor marijuana farming to wildfires would be impossible to come by. Only recently, as the drought settled in for the long term in California, have state and local officials become more forthright about the situation.
However, these two articles from September 2014 highlight the seriousness of the situation and how it feeds into drought and desertification cycles that can alter micro climates: King Fire Points to California's Drought Driven Fire Future (Video) (Christian Science Monitor) and California Wildfires, King Fire, Drought And Climate Change (National Geographic). I'll toss in this CSM report from June 2014 about hi-tech firefighting that I found interesting.
********
The water shortage crisis in large parts of California is almost always referred to as a drought, which of course it is. Yet this has tended to divert attention from the increasing desertification happening in parts of the state.
Desertification can be the result of any one of several factors or combination of such. Yet deforestation is one precipitant of desertification -- or it develops into a tipping point; i.e., if a macro weather system is creating a trend for arid conditions in a region, deforestation can exacerbate the trend. This kind of situation relates as much to micro climate as macro climate.
Critical Importance of Microclimates
In a post last year about widescale mountaintop removal in the Appalachians I noted that scientists studying the environmental impacts of the mountaintop removals had started speculating that the removals, which can include destruction of large swaths of mature forests,were be negatively affecting the entire microclimate in the region. The scientists were launching research to study this angle.
The same kind of research might yield a new view of the drought in California's San Joaquin Valley. It would also be helpful to know if there's a correlation between the recent widescale deforestation in the region to make way for large commercial marijuana (pot) growing operations and the desertification in the region during the past 3-4 years.
Of course the greatest damage in this regard over the long term in California would be due to establishing larger and larger fields for food crops. But the biggest problem with the influx of large-scale marijuana farming into the Central Valley -- particularly the San Joaquin Valley -- during the past few years is that there aren't 'fields' that can be readily spotted by authorities. Many farmers in the Valley who grew food crops started interspersing them with larger and larger stands of marijuana plants.
As to how much deforestation has occurred in the state that specifically relates to commercial pot farming, I don't think that's been nailed down. But from this February 2014 report by Jason Best (Marijuana Farms Push California Salmon to the Brink of Extinction) it's been extensive.
In the almost 20 years since California legalized the sale of medicinal marijuana, thousands of new growers have set up shop. An aerial tour using Google Earth created in 2011 by Anthony Silvaggio, an environmental sociologist with Humboldt State University, and posted by Mother Jones, shows some of the devastating impact, with large swaths of forest mowed down to make room for illicit grow operations.However, the deforestation from large scale marijuana growing that Silvaggio chronicled is in the north of the state -- in Humboldt County, part of California's pot-growing "Emerald Triangle." Not in the Central Valley.
Speaking of deforestation and mountaintop removal, it so happens that environmental damage done by the removals is of the same kind that happens with large scale marijuana cultivation: deforestation, dammed and diverted rivers and streams, streams filled up with dirt, polluted freshwater and groundwater, etc.
It further happens that the mountaintop removal 'belt' in Appalachian states is also home to large scale illicit marijuana operations. Yet to my knowledge there has been no study of the correlation. In fact, published studies of the environmental impact of marijuana operations in the Appalachians are scarcer than hen's teeth.
How Numerous Lost Jobs Can Impact Microclimates
I think there's a reasonable explanation for this. When the strip mining operations associated with mountaintop removal replaced regular deep mining, many coal miners lost not only their job but also their vocation. And since the 2008 financial crash, it's been even harder to find employment in the poorer U.S. states or regions in the Appalachians. The result is that the state governments, facing high unemployment numbers, tended to look the other way about the proliferation of illicit pot growing operations.
And whatever environmental damage was due to pot growing could easily be chalked up to the mountaintop removal operations, and probably has been in several cases.
A parallel situation happened in California in areas with widescale logging operations. As the operations were permanently wound down on a large scale, people who'd earned their living in logging, and couldn't find other employment, turned to pot farming.
During the weather's salad days these ways of earning income, no matter how destructive to the immediate environment, have to be tolerated. But when the weather pattern turns against humans, whatever microclimates that result from human activities begin to take critical import. A vicious cycle can occur, in which the micro climates steadily worsen as droughts from a macro climate pattern increase.
Eventually the cumulative effect of the degenerated micro climates impacts a macro weather pattern. At that point an entire continent can be put at risk.
Dope, Wildfires, and Deforestation
Accurate statistics about the relationship of outdoor marijuana farming to wildfires would be impossible to come by. Only recently, as the drought settled in for the long term in California, have state and local officials become more forthright about the situation.
However, these two articles from September 2014 highlight the seriousness of the situation and how it feeds into drought and desertification cycles that can alter micro climates: King Fire Points to California's Drought Driven Fire Future (Video) (Christian Science Monitor) and California Wildfires, King Fire, Drought And Climate Change (National Geographic). I'll toss in this CSM report from June 2014 about hi-tech firefighting that I found interesting.
********
Desertification on little cat feet
Years before the severe drought struck in California a police official there told what's probably an old joke in the state. "California has three seasons: floods, forest fires, and mud slides."
Yet it's only in the past year that I've started to appreciate the ramifications of what is actually a vicious cycle. My first lesson about the cycle came last year while I read a news report headlined, "The Greening of New Mexico." The reporter, a New Mexican, joyously reported on the surprise blessing rains that drenched the parched brown landscape and almost overnight turned it a beautiful green.
I shared in her joy, as I'm sure every American did who'd been closely following what was a catastrophic drought in the state. Residents in the region were literally dancing and singing in the downpours. All except for one group of people mentioned in the report: wildfire fighting officials.
The only thing they could see when they looked at all that green was miles and miles of bone dry tinder.
If the rains were only a temporary reprieve from the long-running drought, soon the greenery would dry out again. The slightest spark or a lighting strike would then touch off a conflagration that could endanger large tracts of the state's forests, already fragile from the effects of drought. If the rains then returned in force there would be even more flooding as the deluge fell on large burned out tracts of forest.
And so it goes. One way desertification happens.
********
Yet it's only in the past year that I've started to appreciate the ramifications of what is actually a vicious cycle. My first lesson about the cycle came last year while I read a news report headlined, "The Greening of New Mexico." The reporter, a New Mexican, joyously reported on the surprise blessing rains that drenched the parched brown landscape and almost overnight turned it a beautiful green.
I shared in her joy, as I'm sure every American did who'd been closely following what was a catastrophic drought in the state. Residents in the region were literally dancing and singing in the downpours. All except for one group of people mentioned in the report: wildfire fighting officials.
The only thing they could see when they looked at all that green was miles and miles of bone dry tinder.
If the rains were only a temporary reprieve from the long-running drought, soon the greenery would dry out again. The slightest spark or a lighting strike would then touch off a conflagration that could endanger large tracts of the state's forests, already fragile from the effects of drought. If the rains then returned in force there would be even more flooding as the deluge fell on large burned out tracts of forest.
And so it goes. One way desertification happens.
********
Egypt's President brings home the, er, lamb chops. Now if he can only bring in the water.
Good Reason To Smile
Of course American Leftists, for reasons shared only amongst themselves and the U.S. Department of State and White House and Pentagon, are still mourning the Muslim Brotherhood's loss of power in Egypt. So I take with a grain of salt the Atlantic's sour grapes view of President Abdel Fattah el-Sissi. Nuts to them. The adults are now in charge in Egypt and everyone in the Middle East knows this.
President Sissi walked away from this past week's 3-day international economic conference in Sharm el-Sheikh with deals that are as much votes of confidence in his leadership and administration as a big pot of money. As a scion of Egypt's wealthiest family put it to the Associated Press:
“Egypt is the most stable country in this big mess. We’ve acknowledged the mess in Libya, the mess in Iraq, in Syria,” he said. “The fact is, Egypt is solid, Egypt is stable. We are actually the last pillar of resistance against uncertainties.”The billionaire, Naguib Onsi Sawiris, also announced he was tossing $3 billion into the investment pot to support development in Egypt's energy sector. Just how big is this pot, so far? To be precise it's:
... investment deals worth more than $138 billion on the first two days of the conference, while [Egypt's] Arab Gulf neighbors—Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates—pledged another $12 billion to help stabilize its economy. The total amount of investments it sealed at the conference is expected to rise after Sunday’s numbers are added, officials said,"That's according to the Wall Street Journal. Not bad for a 3-day confab, although President Sissi made it clear he wants to scare up another 100 billion or so. But it was certainly a "golden moment" for Egypt enthused a UAE securities analyst, reported Gulf News. The golden moment isn't arriving a moment too soon. To return to the WSJ:
One of Egypt’s biggest challenges is tackling unemployment. About two-thirds of the North African country’s 90 million people are under the age of 40, while 30 million people are at employment age.
To that extent, launching massive infrastructure projects would not only boost the economy but also help create jobs quickly.
Among the various such projects unveiled at the conference, Egyptian officials also announced plans to build a gigantic new administrative and business capital east of Cairo with the help of the United Arab Emirates. Officials hope the development will accommodate seven million people and generate 1.5 million jobs.
The International Monetary Fund in February said that recently enacted economic measures have boosted Egypt’s prospects for growth, which will also help reduce the country’s double-digit unemployment rate.
But for Egypt to attract the massive investments it seeks, the country will have to deliver on the promises it has made at the conference, and execute the development projects it has launched, analysts said.The UAE analyst quoted by Gulf News chimed in with these words of wisdom:
“The Egyptian government should work towards removing some obstacles stalling the development process including reforms in labour laws and repatriation of investment and exchange of liquidity.”
The decision of the UAE government to support Egypt is a strategic one, he said. “It is an investment in the future. The UAE is investing for the stability of the Arab world.”
A number of UAE companies signed multi-million dollars worth of deals with the Egyptian government for investment in energy, retail and leisure sectors apart from an offer of $4 billion from the government to support the Egyptian economy.
As to the new capital -- from the housing minister's description it's more a large extension of Cairo, to be built in phases, than a "Potemkin" capital out alone in the desert, as the Atlantic writer tried to characterize it. And it's actually an extension of the other mega-projects that President Sissi launched -- the much-needed expansion of the Suez Canal, and an industrial zone fronting it.
To top if off, as the Atlantic suggests, Egypt's government will receive a great deal of financial assistance in building the city -- from UAE and probably other Gulf Arab countries as well.
All the planning fits together, and the new capital will be more of an administrative conclave than anything else. This removal of the huge number of government buildings in Cairo to a suburbs connected by new highways will open up housing in the city proper -- something I wish could be done in Washington, DC. It will also relieve the gridlock in Cairo -- something else I wish would happen to the District of Columbia. The truth is that Cairo's population has simply outgrown the city.
I have just one question. Where is the Egyptian government going to find all the water needed for these tremendously ambitious plans? I came across several mentions of the word "development" in news reports on the investment conference and extension of Cairo, but not one mention of a plan, ambitious or otherwise, to deal with Egypt's massive water issues.
Yet here is the reality. From a March 2014 report by Al-Monitor (Egypt faces drinking water shortage because of Nile pollution):
[...]The report also mentions mass poisonings from drinking polluted Nile water. I emphasize that the report relates specifically to drinking water -- a surprise for me because I have seen other reports that say Egyptians still have plenty of drinking water. Yes, well, from the Al-Monitor report, it's just that the drinking water is often not safe to drink.
Minister of Water Resources and Irrigation Muhammad Abdul Muttalib said in an interview with Al-Monitor that the allocation of water that is released daily from behind the High Dam is done so according to the schedule set for the actual water needs for drinking, agriculture, industry and other development purposes.
[...]
He added that it is no longer possible to release more water into the Nile, to wash away the pollutants into the sea, because the increased demand by the growing population has caused water to be scarce. He added that they are working on eliminating the various sources of pollution and have taken measures to close all establishments that pour untreated waste into the Nile.
Abdul Muttalib added that Egypt is among the countries below the water poverty line and that it relies on the Nile for its essential needs. Egypt’s share of the Nile does not exceed 55.5 billion cubic meters (1.9 trillion cubic feet) a year, most of which comes from the Ethiopian plateau during the flooding in the summer starting in August.
He said that for this reason water is stored in Lake Nasser to be used during the rest of the year and that the ministry is working through the public authority for the High Dam and the Aswan Dam on a program that organizes water usage. That program will regulate the winter period, which is essential for distributing a limited amount of water throughout the year whereby water usage is optimal.
He said that Egypt is forced to release water from Lake Nasser’s strategic reserve in addition to the daily quota during some emergency cases when the government gets reports that the pollution level went above the allowed standard and for fear that the water quality at drinking stations will be affected, otherwise people will die as a result of the water pollution. [...]
********
Sunday, March 15
The Grand Illusion Crumbles
First drip irrigation device in an old greenhouse, Kibbutz Hatzerim, Israel, 1967 (Photo credit: Courtesy Netafim)
The news reports about water crises the world over are beginning to look the same, aren't they? After plowing through a few thousand reports from around the USA and the world, samplings of which I began posting last year with the "Water Crisis Gordian Knot" series, I noticed patterns emerging from the chaos of data. The same story is being told no matter how different the climate, geography, and culture, and no matter the differences in economies.
How should the story be titled? Decades ago a California politician, in speaking about a water crisis in the state during that era, said that the basic problem was that the state had over-promised and over-allocated water rights. Sounds pretty much on target for California today and many regions of the world now facing great water stress.
Yet I think the stumbling block for today's generation is a gestalt of factors that converge around virtual water -- a term I never heard of until last year, along with most other people. I discussed the concept at length in Shoot Yourself in the Foot model of globalized manufacturing and agribusiness: Water Crisis Gordian Knot, Part 14 (August 2014).
It's no longer just the water; it's that it takes vast amounts of water to grow, manufacture, transport, store, distribute, and dispose of everything we purchase. That was something economists weren't thinking about in the 1970s while arguing that increased global trade would raise the poorest out of poverty. That it did, but once they get out of poverty they have some disposable income. This means they can start buying stuff. Much of the stuff they buy is highly disposable, requiring constant resupply.
And all that highly disposable stuff, just like less disposable stuff, is virtual water. The problem being, as I mentioned in the August 2014 post, is that you can't sip on your cellphone when you're thirsty. Once converted to virtual water, the water can't be extracted from a manufactured product, and only a fraction of the water that goes into growing produce can be extracted -- a process that itself requires water -- and reused.
The great irony is that with advances in technologies of all kinds, a tremendous amount of commercially grown produce and manufactured products is not only widely available -- thanks to vastly improved transport and distribution methods -- but also it can be sold very cheaply. This means even today's poor can afford to buy things that a generation ago would have been out of their reach.
And many of the poors' purchases are subsidized by taxpayers, which means they can consume even more virtual water than their income or lack thereof would allow. Subsidies don't only apply to the poor, of course. Many businesses couldn't survive without taxpayer support.
This mass dodging of Nature's Survival of the Fittest rule wasn't an impossibly large strain on the world's water supplies when the consumer society was a quarter of what it was today. Today, the amount of virtual water required to supply the consumer society is threatening to kill entire nations that depend on exporting to survive.
As to what's to be done about this -- nothing. What are you going to do? Snatch people's potato chip bags out of their hands and snap, "Do you realize how much water that bag represents? Do you realize how much water it takes to grow those potatoes and process and package and warehouse them and ship them and sell them? Do you know how much water it takes to dispose of that bag and recycle it?"
Only a Luddite would consider that approach a solution.
Or maybe pass a law: people can only purchase X amount of virtual water every day. Then set up a global monitoring force to enforce the law. Follow around everyone at Walmart, writing down every purchase and calculating its virtual water, then write out violations and haul repeat offenders to court.
Only the kind of lunatics who want zero growth to save the planet from man- made greenhouse gases would argue for such a law.
There is no solution because virtual water isn't exactly problematical, any more than breathing can be considered problematical. But it does explain where a great deal of water is going in this era. The problematical aspect is that everyone has been very slow to factor virtual water into their calculations about water usage.
No surprise there because everyone has been very slow to factor plain water usage into their calculations. It wasn't until very recently that the technology was developed ("GRACE") to gauge the amount of groundwater available. And with a few rare exceptions water usage hasn't been metered -- or done in such slapdash fashion the record-keeping is useless. It is mind-bending to learn that in California, even in its arid regions, nobody had any idea how much water was being used.
So at present any discussions about how to limit virtual water usage are ridiculous. In fact, the only people as a group who've demonstrated baseline human intelligence about water in the modern era are the Jews who settled in Israel after it became a nation. Most weren't even from a desert climate; they were from Middle Europe. But they looked around and said, 'Here we are in a desert. We should be very respectful of water.'
So it's no accident of fate that it was Israelis who invented drip irrigation. Fast forward to the catastrophic drought in New Mexico a couple years back there was a New Mexican farmer facing utter disaster and saying, 'Maybe it's time for me to think about switching to drip irrigation tape.' Switching from open canals that evaporate millions of gallons of water in the burning desert sun.
Same with Californians, same with Egyptians, same, same, same, same all over the world. Very slow to take up drip irrigation even in a drought-prone region, even in the face of severe water shortages.
Now let's talk about leaky water pipes. It's a safe bet that all the water in all the world's dams is a drop in the bucket next to the water lost in cities with decrepit water transport pipes.
So before we try to get fancy, grab for the low-hanging fruit. There are countless simple ways to conserve water.
This said, it's necessary to understand that we've been living with a grand illusion in this era. Governments are always stating that agriculture takes up most water use. That was true only when harvests were distributed and consumed within a small geographic radius and underwent no processing beyond washing off the dirt.
Today, the cup of Colombian espresso coffee a New Yorker orders at a restaurant doesn't only represent the water used to grow the coffee beans and make espresso. It also represents water used in a long and complex chain of packing, manufacture of bags and crates used for shipment, the shipping and warehousing and distribution of beans and their repackaging for wholesale or retail sale, and finally the restaurant's disposal of the coffee grounds. Add the same process for the manufacture of an espresso coffee cup, and the restaurant patron isn't drinking the worth of a few gallons of water. He's drinking a small ocean of water when he lifts the espresso to his lips.
********
India's Water Shortages: PM Narendra Modi Dusts Off An Old Plan
Perhaps the Prime Minister might also want to dust off a copy of Arvind Kejriwal's "Swaraj" and King Bhumibol's "Sufficiency Philosophy" (see the previous Pundita post). Just sayin'.
“We don’t see how this project and the other river-linking projects will help us,” said Ashish Sagar Dixit, who heads Prawas, a rural advocacy group in Banda on the banks of the Ken. “Both river basins have been facing droughts in the past four to five years.”
Modi Pursues 1980s Plan to Solve India’s Water Shortages
September 24, 2014
Indira Gandhi was among the previous prime ministers who tried even though she was skeptical of mega-dam projects. She approved the $1.2 billion Tehri dam, India’s highest in the Himalayan foothills, while saying it “will benefit only the contractors.” Construction began in 1978, and 100,000 people whose lands and homes were to be submerged by reservoir waters were relocated. The dam didn’t open until 2006.
Now one of the Modi government’s bigger initiatives will be to start implementing a three-decade-old plan to connect 30 rivers, the priciest step yet to begin solving some of the water, sewage, health and pollution issues that bedevil India.
Asia’s third-biggest economy, home to 18 percent of the global population, within six months will begin to link the Ken and Betwa rivers in northern India that flow through Uttar Pradesh, its most populous state, the director-general of the National Water Development Agency, S. Masood Husain, said in an interview in New Delhi. It’s part of plans estimated a decade ago to cost $92 billion to connect the waterways.
The projects linking 14 rivers from the Himalayas and 16 across the India peninsula are to bring waters from one area with plentiful supplies to others with not enough, aiding farmers and helping with supply shortfalls and contamination.
The first river link was approved in July by Modi’s cabinet, which is under a mandate from the new government to start cleaning the Ganges River, India’s holiest waterway.
Not everyone sees the water projects as beneficial.
Sardar Sarovar Project
“It’s not the first time that India will attempt inter-basin transfers,” Husain said. “Water from surplus basins have been transferred to deficit ones before.” He cited the Sardar Sarovar project that transfers waters from the Narmada River in central India across four states.
Sardar Sarovar is a single dam, Thakkar said. “Each of the 30 schemes have multiple dams with interstate, and some with international, implications,” he said.
Linking the Ken and Betwa rivers, which also flow through Madhya Pradesh, will bring drinking water to 1.35 million people and irrigate 600,000 hectares of land, according to Husain.
While his agency has submitted a detailed project report to two states, work cannot start until India’s environment ministry approves the plan because 7 percent of the Panna tiger reserve would be submerged.
Water for Diversion
“We don’t see how this project and the other river-linking projects will help us,” said Ashish Sagar Dixit, who heads Prawas, a rural advocacy group in Banda on the banks of the Ken. “Both river basins have been facing droughts in the past four to five years.”
The Ken has little water left for diversion, Dixit said in a phone interview on Sept. 9. Growing industries using the waters and urbanization put pressure on the rivers.
According to Unicef’s 2013 water and sanitation report, about 71 percent of India’s water resources are available to only 36 percent of the area while the remaining 64 percent has the balance, or 29 percent available.
Meanwhile, cost estimates for the links have risen greatly, Husain said. Each will involve building large dams and canals. In many places the government will need to compensate for loss of land and livelihoods too, he said.
In 2006, the government estimated the two-phase Ken-Betwa project to cost 76 billion rupees. That was revised to almost 94 billion rupees in 2008.
Government Funding
Modi’s government will fund 90 percent of the Ken-Betwa and subsequent projects, with states providing the rest. India may also consider private sector investments for certain projects, according to Husain.
The government-run Water Agency, which employs about 150 engineers, has also completed work on project reports for the Damanganga-Pinjal river link in the western states of Gujarat and Maharashtra, Husain said.
Reports on connecting the Par, Tapi and Narmada rivers in the same states will be finished by March, he said.
It may take longer for Modi’s government to bring about the water changes it envisions, though.
“The Ken-Betwa link has none of the statutory clearances and I do not think they will get it in six months,” Thakkar said. Husain on the other hand expects the projects to move faster.
"Our water needs are becoming bigger,” he said. “India can’t afford to lose more time.”
To contact the reporter on this story: Archana Chaudhary in New Delhi atachaudhary2@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Randall Hackley atrhackley@bloomberg.net; Sunil Jagtiani at sjagtiani@bloomberg.net Sam Nagarajan
“We don’t see how this project and the other river-linking projects will help us,” said Ashish Sagar Dixit, who heads Prawas, a rural advocacy group in Banda on the banks of the Ken. “Both river basins have been facing droughts in the past four to five years.”
Modi Pursues 1980s Plan to Solve India’s Water Shortages
September 24, 2014
Bloomberg
Prime Minister Narendra Modi is trying to make good on his promise to tackle India’s water woes. He isn’t the first Indian leader to make such a vow.Indira Gandhi was among the previous prime ministers who tried even though she was skeptical of mega-dam projects. She approved the $1.2 billion Tehri dam, India’s highest in the Himalayan foothills, while saying it “will benefit only the contractors.” Construction began in 1978, and 100,000 people whose lands and homes were to be submerged by reservoir waters were relocated. The dam didn’t open until 2006.
Now one of the Modi government’s bigger initiatives will be to start implementing a three-decade-old plan to connect 30 rivers, the priciest step yet to begin solving some of the water, sewage, health and pollution issues that bedevil India.
Asia’s third-biggest economy, home to 18 percent of the global population, within six months will begin to link the Ken and Betwa rivers in northern India that flow through Uttar Pradesh, its most populous state, the director-general of the National Water Development Agency, S. Masood Husain, said in an interview in New Delhi. It’s part of plans estimated a decade ago to cost $92 billion to connect the waterways.
The projects linking 14 rivers from the Himalayas and 16 across the India peninsula are to bring waters from one area with plentiful supplies to others with not enough, aiding farmers and helping with supply shortfalls and contamination.
The first river link was approved in July by Modi’s cabinet, which is under a mandate from the new government to start cleaning the Ganges River, India’s holiest waterway.
Not everyone sees the water projects as beneficial.
Ignores ‘Reality’
The river link “ignores the reality that the mainstay of India’s water needs is groundwater and is going to remain for many years to come,” said Himanshu Thakkar, coordinator at Delhi-based South Asian Network on Dams, Rivers and People. “River-linking will not help sustain our groundwater lifeline; on the contrary, it will make the situation worse.”
India extracts 230 cubic kilometers of groundwater every year, the world’s largest user of the resource, according to the World Bank. In comparison, the U.S., suffering droughts in California and Texas, uses about 111.7 cubic kilometers of groundwater a year.
With access to just 4 percent of global water resources, India is trying to move forward as it runs the world’s biggest food subsidy program and plans to increase irrigated land to grow more crops for its population by connecting the rivers.
The government’s river-revival plan in essence is looking to cut dependence on groundwater, source of 85 percent of the drinking water and 60 percent of irrigation in India, by relocating water.
Abundance, Deficit
Channeling water from abundant basins to deficit ones with dams and canals is intended to add 35 million hectares (86 million acres) of irrigated farmland and 34,000 megawatts of electricity, enough to power three cities the size of New York.
When the river-linking plans were first readied in 1980, “the main stumbling block” was building consensus, Husain said of the National Perspective Plan his agency prepared.
Now the government wants to complete its river-linking projects in 10 years, Water Minister Uma Bharti said.
That’s an ambitious plan as not all states agree with sharing water and environmental fears exist. The plan to build the river links also goes “against the declared objective of river rejuvenation,” according to Thakkar.
Water resources are governed by state governments under India’s constitution. As a federal union of 29 states, the nation has yet to implement even one of the proposed links and costs are likely to be much more than the estimated 5.6 trillion rupees ($92 billion) calculated a decade ago, according to Husain.
The river link “ignores the reality that the mainstay of India’s water needs is groundwater and is going to remain for many years to come,” said Himanshu Thakkar, coordinator at Delhi-based South Asian Network on Dams, Rivers and People. “River-linking will not help sustain our groundwater lifeline; on the contrary, it will make the situation worse.”
India extracts 230 cubic kilometers of groundwater every year, the world’s largest user of the resource, according to the World Bank. In comparison, the U.S., suffering droughts in California and Texas, uses about 111.7 cubic kilometers of groundwater a year.
With access to just 4 percent of global water resources, India is trying to move forward as it runs the world’s biggest food subsidy program and plans to increase irrigated land to grow more crops for its population by connecting the rivers.
The government’s river-revival plan in essence is looking to cut dependence on groundwater, source of 85 percent of the drinking water and 60 percent of irrigation in India, by relocating water.
Abundance, Deficit
Channeling water from abundant basins to deficit ones with dams and canals is intended to add 35 million hectares (86 million acres) of irrigated farmland and 34,000 megawatts of electricity, enough to power three cities the size of New York.
When the river-linking plans were first readied in 1980, “the main stumbling block” was building consensus, Husain said of the National Perspective Plan his agency prepared.
Now the government wants to complete its river-linking projects in 10 years, Water Minister Uma Bharti said.
That’s an ambitious plan as not all states agree with sharing water and environmental fears exist. The plan to build the river links also goes “against the declared objective of river rejuvenation,” according to Thakkar.
Water resources are governed by state governments under India’s constitution. As a federal union of 29 states, the nation has yet to implement even one of the proposed links and costs are likely to be much more than the estimated 5.6 trillion rupees ($92 billion) calculated a decade ago, according to Husain.
Sardar Sarovar Project
“It’s not the first time that India will attempt inter-basin transfers,” Husain said. “Water from surplus basins have been transferred to deficit ones before.” He cited the Sardar Sarovar project that transfers waters from the Narmada River in central India across four states.
Sardar Sarovar is a single dam, Thakkar said. “Each of the 30 schemes have multiple dams with interstate, and some with international, implications,” he said.
Linking the Ken and Betwa rivers, which also flow through Madhya Pradesh, will bring drinking water to 1.35 million people and irrigate 600,000 hectares of land, according to Husain.
While his agency has submitted a detailed project report to two states, work cannot start until India’s environment ministry approves the plan because 7 percent of the Panna tiger reserve would be submerged.
Water for Diversion
“We don’t see how this project and the other river-linking projects will help us,” said Ashish Sagar Dixit, who heads Prawas, a rural advocacy group in Banda on the banks of the Ken. “Both river basins have been facing droughts in the past four to five years.”
The Ken has little water left for diversion, Dixit said in a phone interview on Sept. 9. Growing industries using the waters and urbanization put pressure on the rivers.
According to Unicef’s 2013 water and sanitation report, about 71 percent of India’s water resources are available to only 36 percent of the area while the remaining 64 percent has the balance, or 29 percent available.
Meanwhile, cost estimates for the links have risen greatly, Husain said. Each will involve building large dams and canals. In many places the government will need to compensate for loss of land and livelihoods too, he said.
In 2006, the government estimated the two-phase Ken-Betwa project to cost 76 billion rupees. That was revised to almost 94 billion rupees in 2008.
Government Funding
Modi’s government will fund 90 percent of the Ken-Betwa and subsequent projects, with states providing the rest. India may also consider private sector investments for certain projects, according to Husain.
The government-run Water Agency, which employs about 150 engineers, has also completed work on project reports for the Damanganga-Pinjal river link in the western states of Gujarat and Maharashtra, Husain said.
Reports on connecting the Par, Tapi and Narmada rivers in the same states will be finished by March, he said.
It may take longer for Modi’s government to bring about the water changes it envisions, though.
“The Ken-Betwa link has none of the statutory clearances and I do not think they will get it in six months,” Thakkar said. Husain on the other hand expects the projects to move faster.
"Our water needs are becoming bigger,” he said. “India can’t afford to lose more time.”
To contact the reporter on this story: Archana Chaudhary in New Delhi atachaudhary2@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Randall Hackley atrhackley@bloomberg.net; Sunil Jagtiani at sjagtiani@bloomberg.net Sam Nagarajan
[END REPORT]
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