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Monday, March 23

But what about the gin?

Spirit of invention: Gin distillery makes hand gel for COVID-19 fight
Euronews

Workers at the Listoke Distillery and Gin School in rural Ireland have halted production of gin to make hand sanitiser to aid the fight against the coronavirus.

The product is being sold at cost price in a bid to stem the spread of COVID-19, as hand sanitiser is sold out in shops.


[...]

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To heck with brandy kegs

Finally! A useful scientific study on the coronavirus!

A big thanks to the lead scientist, Dr Michael Gale, who repeatedly risked his life to study BOTH a live specimen of the new virus and the 1918 pandemic virus, and who agreed to talk directly to the press about his study's findings; to a reporter named Mike Carter who writes in plain English and his publisher; and to the Drudge Report for scooping up Carter's report on the study's initial findings. 

Beyond noting (in private correspondence) that my first guess about the virus was that it was "SARS 2.0 on little cat feet," I'll reserve further comment until later.  All right, here's the entire report:

‘There’s a lot we don’t know’: UW researchers look at how coronavirus turns body against itself and kills
By Mike Carter 
The Seattle Times (TNS) [via] The Eagle
Mar 23, 2020 Updated 3 hrs ago


SEATTLE — Last Tuesday, a scientist working in a secure upper-floor laboratory in the University of Washington Medical Center’s South Lake Union campus cracked open a vial containing one of the first samples of live SARS-CoV-2 virus, with a goal of better understanding how and why it kills.
The disease caused by the virus, COVID-19, has proved particularly lethal to the elderly and those with underlying health conditions, and the scientists at the school’s Center for Innate Immunity and Immune Disease have been tasked with trying to understand why in these cases the new virus overwhelms the body’s natural defenses, while in most people it causes only moderate or even mild illness.
The new virus has some unusual characteristics that haven’t been seen in other SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) outbreaks, both in the way it attacks the lungs and how it can infect people quietly, where they will have few or no symptoms for days or weeks but still spread the disease, said Dr. Michael Gale, a professor of immunology at the UW and the center’s director.
“There’s a lot we don’t know,” Gale said. “We don’t know how it interacts with the cell. We don’t know how it invades it. We don’t know how it overcomes the cell’s innate immune system.”
These are all questions that Gale and his team of scientists, working with others around the world, hope to answer as they begin to understand the pathology of the novel coronavirus. That information, in turn, will inform both treatment and prevention of the disease, he said.
“What we do know is that this SARS is very successful in taking over the cell,” he said. So successful, in fact, that the body’s reaction to that takeover can be so violent and overwhelming that, in essence, it ends up killing itself.
 Earlier this month, the King County Medical Examiner’s Office released a list of the first 22 people in King County to die from COVID-19 before announcing that it was no longer taking jurisdiction over SARS deaths. 

The list identified patients, their age and their gender, and listed the cause of death and contributing factors. Gale and another noted immunologist and pathologist, Dr. Julian Leibowitz at Texas A&M University College of Medicine, reviewed the list and remarked on how the information fits with what is known and being learned about COVID-19 and how it attacks the body.

Both were cautious to point out that the information was extremely limited and did not contain autopsy reports, tissue-sample slides or other detailed information they would need to provide anything more than general observations.
Leibowitz, however, said he has reviewed detailed results of a COVID-19 autopsy performed in China and published online. What he was able to glean from the medical examiner’s list led him to conclude the pathology was similar.
“This follows the pattern of SARS in general,” he said. “This virus clearly causes a viral pneumonia” similar to the SARS outbreak in 2003 that infected 8,089 people around the world. Like that outbreak, he said, the chance of serious illness or death is significantly higher in older populations, he said. The average age of the individuals on the medical examiner’s list was 66, with the oldest being 98 and the youngest 44.
But this new coronavirus is likely more infectious, certainly more insidious, and more lethal that the ‘03 SARS virus. That outbreak killed 774 people before being contained in about nine months. COVID-19 has infected more than 208,000 people worldwide and killed nearly 8,700 of them, and has spread into a pandemic.
Leibowitz said one thing really jumped out at him from the King County list: the number of cases of cardiomyopathy, a hardening of the heart muscle that can be caused by a drastic immune response. Four of the 22 King County fatalities had cardiomyopathy listed as the primary cause of death.
Similarly, an article published Thursday in the Journal of the American Medical Association detailing a review of the outcomes of 21 COVID-19 patients admitted to the Intensive Care Unit at Kirkland’s EvergreenHealth Medical Center made a similar observation, finding cardiomyopathy developed in seven of the 21 patients. At the time of publication, 14 of the 21 had died.
“It is unclear whether the high rate of cardiomyopathy in this case series reflects a direct cardiac complication of SARS-CoV-2 infection or resulted from overwhelming critical illness,” the article stated, calling for additional research.
Leibowitz believes it is likely a result of the body’s immune system trying desperately to stop the virus, causing massive inflammation throughout the heart and lungs and, in some cases, damaging other organs as well.
The workings of the immune system is what Gale’s UW scientists are focused on, specifically the “innate” portion of the body’s defenses — mechanisms genetically coded into every cell to protect it from infections and damage. They activate almost immediately when the body detects an invader.
Gale said his researchers are working to understand how SARS-CoV-2 manages to defeat these mechanisms to invade a cell and take it over, forcing it to replicate copies of the virus even as it is destroyed. Those virus copies then go on to infect other cells and the process repeats in a cascading infection.
“Right now, its replication strategy is unknown,” Gale said during a recent interview outside the Bio-Safety Level III laboratory in South Lake Union where his scientist opened the vial of SARS-CoV-2 this past week. Gale asked that the exact location of the laboratory be withheld for security reasons.
“What we know is that the virus physically destroys the lung tissue as it replicates in the cells,” he said. Gale said the tissue damage he’s seen bears similarities to the damaged lungs of victims of the 1918 influenza-A pandemic, which infected one of every three people and killed 50 million people — roughly 3% of the world’s population.
Gale has worked with and studied the 1918 H1N1 flu virus as well after a live specimen was recovered in 2007 from the remains of an Inuit woman who was buried in the Alaskan permafrost after dying during the pandemic.
“That virus physically destroyed the cells, as well,” he said.
A Morbidity and Mortality Report issued Wednesday by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention states that preliminary data from the initial outbreak in Wuhan, China, shows the majority of COVID-19 deaths in those 60 and older.
Leibowitz said the vulnerability of older patients is likely explained at least in part because, as people age, their cells lose their ability to grow, divide and protect themselves through a process called “senescence,” a word derived from the Latin “senex,” which means “old.”
“The immune system becomes sluggish, sleepy,” he said.
Add to that another health issue — diabetes or kidney problems — and the tired immune system can be even further taxed.
“When a person has an underlying health issue, it engages an immune response at some level,” Gale explained. This can result in inflammation as the body attempts to grapple with the issue. “Your body is distracted, and it can’t deal with other insults.”
“It becomes a race,” said Leibowitz, who has studied coronavirus. “The virus tries to spread and make more virus in order for it to be successful in nature.
“In the meantime, your immune system tries to kill the cells that are infected,” he explained. If you are young and healthy with a robust immune system, then not as many cells will be affected.
 “But if your innate immune system isn’t strong, then the virus is more successful and your body’s response will be prolonged. That means more cells will be damaged by the immune system as it tries to keep up with the virus.
“And that,” he said, “is not good for your lungs.”
The other “striking” issue with SARS-CoV-2 has been its apparently easy transmission and contagion, Leibowitz said.
“What is scary to me about this SARS compared to the outbreak in 2003 is that back then, asymptomatic patients did not transmit the disease. You had to have a fever to be contagious,” he said. “This disease can be transmitted silently by people who don’t know they are sick and show few or no symptoms of being infected.”
That surreptitious transmission strikes Gale, as well, who noted that of the first 22 people who died in King County from COVID-19 — the individuals listed on the medical examiner’s document — most had been patients at Life Care Center of Kirkland, a long-term nursing facility that became ground zero for the pandemic in the U.S. At last count, Dr. Jeffrey Duchin, the chief public health officer for Public Health — Seattle & King County, said 23 care facilities had reported patients or staff with confirmed COVID-19 infections.
“The 2003 SARS outbreak was more acute,” Gale said. “Here, we have up to two weeks with people asymptomatic and, in some cases, kids don’t get sick at all. They’re little vectors.
“You have to ask yourself, ‘Why do you think all the nursing homes and care centers get hit?’ ” he asked. “I can tell you: It’s because grandparents got visits from grandkids.”
[END REPORT]
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Sunday, March 22

What means "The Spirit is upon me"?

Here's one example. [smiling] Be sure to watch as she leaves the stage. She's stopping herself from going airborne....


U.S. lockdown to last 10-12 weeks? What kind of lockdown? UPDATED 6:!5 PM

UPDATE
From the following Breaking News report at Sputnik, Cuomo's remarks earlier today could signal the opposite of what I suspected, which is that he was preparing to abandon containment tactics in New York. Perhaps I'm getting too cynical by assuming a New York governor meant the opposite of what he said.....
Trump Says Approved New York, Washington Requests to Declare Major Disaster
So far, the number of confirmed coronavirus cases in the United States has reached 32,644, according to the Johns Hopkins University, which puts the US in third place in terms of its COVID-19 toll, surpassed only by China and Italy.

President Donald Trump said on Sunday he had approved New York and Washington's requests to declare a major disaster in the two states amid the COVID-19 pandemic, adding that he will approve California's request soon.
The president also said the US is mobilising all resources available to combat the spread of the virus and said it was important that the US citizens followed the federal guidance on social distancing.
MORE DETAILS TO FOLLOW
END UPDATE 

March 22 -- U.S. Coronavirus Lockdown to Last 10-12 Weeks, Top Trump Official Says. 

Does this mean the lockdown will intensify? Be enforced nationally by martial law? Highly populated L.A. County has already given up trying to contain the virus, according to this March 20 report from the Los Angeles Times. From the NY Governor's presser today, it almost sounds as if he's getting ready to abandon the lockdown, such as it exists in New York, given his dire warning and threats to take extreme measures:
... he "warned that 80% of New York state's population could become infected with the coronavirus and said the crisis could last as long as nine months. ... Cuomo also slammed “arrogant” groups who are still socializing despite orders to stay at home as virus cases soar. ... The Governor said that he has ordered NYC officials to develop a plan to reduce density in the city, and suggested that streets could be closed off to vehicles so people could spread out. ...
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"Pros Have the Power to Rebuild" The American way of responding to crisis

November 2019 - rebuilding a city devastated by 18 tornadoes. This video is actually an ad, the most inspiring one I've ever seen. Brings home that there is the Chinese way, and the American one. Both have their value.  The big difference is the Chinese way is the government mobilizing millions of citizens; here in the USA, the citizens don't need government to mobilize.  I have never forgotten that it was ordinary Americans who mustered a defense against the 9/11 attack while the U.S. government and its huge military stood helpless. 

The dual-power tools were donated, so rebuilding could go forward even without electricity.



Friday, March 20

The bliss of turning inward

There are no words to describe the ineffable sweetness of this kind of bliss, the sense of being transported and well-grounded at the same time, but singing can convey some of it. 







A virus inspires long-overdue Good News File

I don't know how long Drudge has linked to this page at MSN stuffed with good-news reports but this is the first time I've seen it. As Americans and peoples in other countries start to take their lives in stride in response to the virus, what started as small streams of kindness is turning into a roaring flood. Even if you don't have time to read through all the reports, look at the headlines to be inspired about how Americans are responding to help those who are most vulnerable to threats from the virus.  

Americans readers can start at the site with the AFP report published today, With coronavirus, acts of kindness abound in US.  And it's not only in the United States. See this Al Jazeera report, also published today, In the UK, an outbreak of kindness and charity as virus spreads. 

Now what we need are national Good News cable channels; instead of lecturing and fighting over political solutions, show what so many individuals are doing every day to help people in their communities, the challenges they've faced and overcome. 

Often people only need an action-path -- to see how how others are helping in order to think up their own ways to help.  It doesn't have to be a big program involving hundreds of professionals, the small acts add up.  

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As a virus clears Venice Italy of tourists, wildlife returns to city.


And the city's waters have cleared because pollution from motorized tourist gondolas has dwindled.  See The Guardian report. 'Nature is taking back Venice': wildlife returns to tourist-free city for a photo of seaweed clearly visible underwater.

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The virus that brings families together and restores common sense

That's not all. In fact, this virus has already done so much good for humanity that I can scarcely count all the ways.  Of course this has come at great cost but that's the point, isn't it? It was said that a naked virgin carrying a sack of gold could walk safely from one end of Genghis Khan's empire to other other. The Khan did not restore that much order during an earlier age of unrestricted, mindless evil by being a nice guy.  

That's been the problem: to protect the good, to restore order -- nay, sanity -- to societies around the world would take an unyielding ruthlessness that only an absolute ruler with a global reach could wield.  So while I warned in 2005 when I wrote about Ghengis Khan that the ball was in humanity's court if we didn't want to see something like him appear again, it seemed I was warning about the impossible happening.

Nothing is impossible in God's world.    

This does not mean that societies have abandoned nihilism, but the false god of politics is an abeyance because the slower pace of society wrought by a virus is giving many millions of people time to reflect, to distinguish the important from the unimportant. Or I should say the Chinese government's response to a virus, which other governments have copied to one extent or another while many millions of citizens have cooperated in making an unprecedented defense plan work.

The road is still strewn with the gravest dangers but a virus has given the human race a fighting chance to survive what's ahead. It doesn't get more poetic. 

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Friday, March 13

"Drug Cartels Switch To Producing Hand Sanitizer"


Only the Babylon Bee. Who else?  They also came up with another zinger, which I, and I suspect a great many others, are thinking:
Americans Rejoice As News Finally Not All About Trump
U.S.—The long national nightmare of every single day being dominated by news about Donald Trump has finally come to an end, as the top news story for the past week has been about a pandemic threatening lives and the economy.
“This is such a nice change of pace,” said Dwayne Hughes, an electrician. “I just got sick and tired of the news being, ‘Hey! Here’s what Trump just tweeted!’ And now the news is all about what major thing closed or got canceled today. It’s way different.”
Claudia Davis, a baker, agreed.
“Every day it was just them bleating some nonsense about how Trump is going to kill millions with tax cuts or ending net neutrality. And now millions could actually die, but Trump isn’t at the center of it.” 
Not for want of trying. The BB report ends on a grim note:
The news coverage of the coronavirus has taken a turn for the worse, though, as constant news reports of Trump’s reaction to the coronavirus have begun to spread and could infect all news coverage by the end of the week.
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Chinese way and Indian way of fighting a new virus

Chinese Way 



Indian Way


An accompanying RT report has a little more of the story.

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Monday, March 2

"The resupply should silence any talk that Russia has given up on Syria."

May God bless Bernhard, who really does try to keep up with the dizzying developments in Idlib. His new short note, just published, repeats some of the information in the post I put up a few minutes ago, which includes his older short note, but here goes:

Syria - Another Short Note On The Recent Developments
Moon of Alabama
March 2 - 18:39 UTC


After the confusion caused by the sudden stand down of Russian forces in Syria and the following Turkish drone attacks everything seems to be back to normal.

Russian planes are again bombing Jihadis and Turkey has been told by Russia that none of its planes or drones will be safe within Syria's sky.

The Pentagon announced that it will not provide air support to Turkey. It will also not send any Patriot air defense to Syria but President Trump promised to ask other NATO countries to do so. They are likely to deny the request. It seems that Pentagon has won the fight with the State Department which supported the Turkish push for protection.

The Turkish president Erdogan said that Turkey has no "particular problem" with Russian and Iran aligned forces in Idleb. This comes after Iran and Hizbullah had warned that Turkish troops in their now surrounded 'observation posts' would be easy targets. The Turkish units which have invaded Idleb were quiet today.


Source: Peto Lucem - bigger

The Syrian army has again regained the areas that were lost during the last week. The city of Saraqib is again liberated. Russia let it known that its military police will take care of security in the city. This means that it is off limits for another Turkish Jihadi attack. The M5 highway can now be reopened and will be secure.

There is another large supply operation from Russia underway. During the last three days two Russian landing ships, which usually carry heavy weapons like tanks, passed through the Bosporus on their way to Syria. Eight Ilyushin Il-76 strategic airlifters landed at Hmeymim, Latakia during the past three days. These likely carry additional air defense systems or additional fighter planes.

The resupply should silence any talk that Russia has given up on Syria.

Erdogan wants Idleb but neither Syria nor Iran nor Russia will let him have it. President Putin will meet Erdogan during the next days and will make sure that the point is understood.

Posted by b at 18:39 UTC
[END REPORT]

"Current situation in Syria is confusing." Thanks for letting us know

Bernhard at MoA is trying hard to keep up with military events in Idlib, which are so fast-moving they've confounded even 'expert' observers. His March 1 note on recent developments (see below) is already outdated. Just when everyone was digesting the news that the Turks had retaken Saraqib, SouthFront reported today that the Syrian army had taken it back. Russian police are already policing the town and environs. 

On March 1 Col. Lang at SST expressed the concern that Erdogan is trying to trigger Article 5, which could mean a big military confrontation between NATO and Russia. But if the U.S. Secretary of Defense is to be believed, indications as of today are that the White House is fine with Erdogan stewing in his own juices.

The confusion is made worse because Erdogan is running back and forth between Putin and Trump alternately pleading and bullying while making good on his threat to turn loose on Europe Syrian refugees he's been holding in abeyance in Turkey. This is not the way to win hearts and minds at NATO -- or at the Kremlin or White House. 

I also think it was a serious mistake for the Turks to haul in the Sputnik bureau chief in Turkey on unspecified charges. Three other Sputnik staffers disappeared after they asked for Turk police protection when Turkish nationalists attacked them. 
 
March 1, 2019
Moon of Alabama

The current situation in Syria is confusing.

The Russian airforce and air defense went quiet after the bombing of the Turkish infantry battalion. Putin presumably wants a deal over Idleb but neither Damascus nor Ankara are willing to agree to whatever he proposed. Unfortunately there has been no official comment on the situation from Moscow or Damascus. All 'experts' are currently just guessing.
Turkey used the Russian air defense pause to send armed drones behind the Syrian lines. These caused damage though less than Turkey claimed.

Some Hizbullah and Iranian troops were hit and Turkey has received warnings from Iran and Lebanon that this will have consequences for the Turkish soldiers in Idleb.

Today Syria's air defense was again activated and shot down 6 Turkish drones. The Jihadis thought it was a Syrian plane and celebrated. 

Turkey responded by shooting down a Syrian jet over Idleb. The missile was fired from Turkey. [Pundita note: Pilot ejected safely; reportedly' a second jet was shot down and that pilot also bailed safely.]

Another drone was shot down near the Russian air base in Latakia.

The Syrian army is advancing in Saraqib. [See FALL OF SARAQIB: SYRIAN ARMY RETREATS UNDER TURKISH STRIKES IN EASTERN IDLIB; February 27; SouthFront]

Syria's Foreign Minister met his Libyan colleague from the Libyan National Accord under General Haftar. They criticized the "Turkish aggression" against both countries and signed some agreements.

Yesterday Sputnik published a piece on Hatay:


Today Turkey arrested the Sputnik bureau chief in Istanbul.


Posted by b on March 1, 2020 at 14:04 UTC

[END MoA REPORT]

Stay tuned.  

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"US Will Not Provide Air Support to Turkey in Syria's Idlib - Pentagon Chief"

BREAKING NEWS
Sputnik

On Saturday, President Trump said the US had been speaking with President Erdogan of Turkey "a lot" over the situation in Idlib, and confirmed that the two countries were discussing Ankara's request for the temporary deployment of US Patriot anti-aircraft missile systems on Turkey's border with Syria.
The United States will not provide air support to Turkey in the wartorn Syrian province of Idlib, Pentagon Chief Mark Esper has said.
Speaking to reporters in Washington on Monday, Esper said that the US would be seeking to increase humanitarian aid deliveries to Turkey following last week's deadly attack which killed 33 Turkish troops. Asked if US assistance would include air support, he responded "No."

The secretary of defence also confirmed that he has spoken to NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg about the situation in Syria, and that NATO was prepared for anything that might happen.
Commenting on Ankara's move to open its borders with the European Union, Esper said that this was Turkey's decision to make.
DETAILS TO FOLLOW

Wednesday, February 26

Idlib: Erdogan blusters, Assad slogs on.

[Pundita Editorial Comment: sigh.]

"We’re the hosts there." Erdogan says Turkey won’t pull back from Syria’s sovereign territory, gives Assad ultimatum to retreat
26 Feb, 2020 11:28 / Updated 3 hours ago
RT

Reiterating his usual rhetoric on Syria, the Turkish leader has ruled out withdrawal from Idlib, where his forces back rebels fighting the government. He also gave Damascus some time to retreat beyond Turkey’s observation posts.

“We will not step back in Idlib. We are not the guests in this realm, we are the hosts,” Recep Tayyip Erdogan told a meeting of his AK party on Wednesday. Vowing to bring “the regime’s attacks” to an end, Erdogan said Ankara is giving Damascus time to pull forces back from Turkish observation posts, but that time “is expiring at the end of the month.”

Erdogan said he'd tried to secure Donald Trump's support before gettig tough on Idlib, “but there is no support yet.” He said: “It seems that we will have another meeting this time.”

Situated in Syria’s northwest, Idlib is the last remaining bastion of anti-government rebels and Islamist militants, who have held grip over the province since as early as 2011.

Hostilities escalated dramatically in recent weeks as the Syrian military renewed its offensive in an effort to capture strategic towns in the province and unlock the M4 highway connecting Aleppo – once Syria’s second most populated city – to other parts of the country.

Damascus’ push prompted Turkish military to deploy thousands of soldiers and hundreds of tanks in order to reinforce their militant allies battling Bashar Assad, while also accusing Syrian troops of bombing civilians and shelling its soldiers.

Meanwhile, Ankara has demanded that Russia pressure Assad into bringing his operation in Idlib to a halt.

However, Moscow insists that the Syrian army is acting within its own territory and has every right to restore sovereignty and quell Islamist insurgency; it also insisted that Turkey failed to separate the 'moderate opposition' from the terrorists – a key provision under the 2018 Sochi accord, which set out several “de-escalation zones” across Idlib.

[END REPORT]

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Tuesday, February 25

Melania in India


Casting rose petals in honor of Gandhi.

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Monday, February 24

So how's your immune system holding up these days?

Quote from a Reuters report today headlined Battle against coronavirus turns to Italy; Wall Street falls on pandemic fears.  
"Liang Wannian of China's National Health Commission said while the rapid rise had been halted [in China], the situation was still grim. He said over 3,000 medical staff had become infected, most in Hubei province surrounding Wuhan, probably due to the lack of protective gear and fatigue."
I note that the World Health Organization's list for the public of Basic protective measures against the new coronavirus doesn't include avoiding fatigue. It's only in the section "How to cope with stress during 2019-nCoV outbreak" that WHO gets around to mentioning the need for enough sleep in the context of maintaining a "healthy lifestyle," including 'proper diet, sleep, exercise, and social contacts' to cope with the stress of worrying about 2019-nCoV.

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