As the fog and dust of war settle, a successful Coalition mission emerges in Iraq

Iraq Slogger's Christina Davidson thinks Bartle Bull's analysis, Mission Accomplished, is looking at the glass half full and that it could easily spill. Pundita appreciates her sense of caution. However, I'd say he's isolated key issues that were greatly obscured by the hectic daily events of war:

The great question in deciding whether to keep fighting in Iraq is not about the morality and self-interest of supporting a struggling democracy that is also one of the most important countries in the world. The question is whether the war is winnable and whether we can help the winning of it.

The answer is made much easier by the fact that three and a half years after the start of the insurgency, most of the big questions in Iraq have been resolved. Moreover, they have been resolved in ways that are mostly towards the positive end of the range of outcomes imagined at the start of the project.

The country is whole. It has embraced the ballot box. It has created a fair and popular constitution. It has avoided all-out civil war. It has not been taken over by Iran. It has put an end to Kurdish and marsh Arab genocide, and anti-Shia apartheid. It has rejected mass revenge against the Sunnis. As shown in the great national votes of 2005 and the noisy celebrations of the Iraq football team's success in July, Iraq survived the Saddam Hussein era with a sense of national unity; even the Kurds—whose reluctant commitment to autonomy rather than full independence is in no danger of changing—celebrated. Iraq's condition has not caused a sectarian apocalypse across the region. The country has ceased to be a threat to the world or its region. The only neighbours threatened by its status today are the leaders in Damascus, Riyadh and Tehran.

Read the rest of Bull's analysis for the UK's Prospect Magazine. Warning: if you haven't been following the Iraq situation very closely, be prepared for several surprises.