Below, three pearls of Indian counterterrorism expert B. Raman's hard-won wisdom about the reasoning processes of Pakistan's military chiefs. I've supplied brief editorial comments to excerpts from his May 8 analysis, which parses the chiefs' reaction to a threat from the White House that was delivered by Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
Round Up the Usual Suspects
The Pakistani reaction to the identification of Faisal Shahzad as the perpetrator of the [Times Square bombing] attempt has been typical. Firstly, to assure all cooperation to the US in the investigation of the case. Secondly, to round up about 20 persons in Karachi, Peshawar and other places, including four alleged members of the Jaish-e-Mohammad (JEM). Thirdly, to point out that Faisal is an American and not a Pakistani citizen and hence causes for his radicalisation are to be found in the US and not in Pakistan. And fourthly, to start releasing those arrested one after the other on grounds of lack of evidence.The future? We live in the Eternal Now
[Clinton's] warning has received greater attention in India than in Pakistan. The lack of an impact in Pakistan could be attributed to two reasons. Firstly, a careful reading of her remarks shows that her so-called warning is not with reference to the failed attempt by Faisal Shahzad, a US citizen of Pakistani origin, on May 1, 2010, to cause an incendiary car bomb explosion in the Times Square of New York, but with reference to any future attack that might be successful. What she meant was that if there was a successful attack in future and the investigation traced it back to Pakistan, it would face severe consequences.We suppose you haven't noticed that USAF has Gone Native
All US warnings and admonitions have no effect on the Pakistani authorities because of their conviction that the importance of Pakistan for US policies in Afghanistan would protect Pakistan from any reprisals by the US and that anyhow, whatever the State Department might think and say, the Pentagon would oppose any action against Pakistan.