Translate

Friday, January 15

Hotel Haiti

Many years ago, whenever calamity broke out somewhere in the world, I fell into the habit of adopting a journalist who'd rushed headlong into the worst of it. I pounce on every report the journalist files and wait impatiently for the next one. Until now I never stopped to wonder why I do this; I suppose it helps me personalize the victims of the calamity by giving me a particular stranger's welfare to worry about.

The adoptee for the Haiti earthquake is Reuters veteran journalist Andrew Cawthorne. His view of situations he's encountered since his mad dash to reach Port au Prince before nightfall gives his reports from Haiti the tone of a hitchhiker's diary.

This morning Andrew wrote about Villa Creole, the hotel where he and several other journalists and aid workers are staying. The generosity of the hotel's owner, who's letting everyone stay for free, and the hotel's almost magical ability to keep functioning in the midst of chaos, evoke memories of the Mille Collines, the model for the hotel in "Hotel Rwanda."

The 74-key, 3-star Hotel Christopher, which served as headquarters for the United Nations Stabilization Mission to Haiti, collapsed in a pile of rubble when the earthquake struck. The same happened to Karibe Hotel, which also housed UN workers, and the 98-year-old Hôtel Montana, a 145-key, 4-star tourist hotel, which was popular with French tourists.

About 200 United Nations staff were inside the Christopher when it collapsed; at least 36 have been confirmed dead and about 150 remain missing. Alain Joyandet, an official with France's State Department, said on Wednesday that 300 people were believed to be inside the Hôtel Montana when it collapsed and that only about 100 had been accounted for.

Late yesterday a French search team pulled two American survivors from the Montana's rubble: Sarla Chand of New Jersey and Richard Santos of Washington, DC. Richard is president and CEO of IMA World Health Organization and Sarla is the organization's vice president of international programs. The French team went on to attempt to free several other apparent survivors, "many" of them believed to be Americans, according to ABC News.

ABC also reported that late Thursday afternoon the U.S. Department of State confirmed one American death: 57-year-old Victoria DeLong, a cultural affairs officer at the U.S. Embassy in Port au Prince who had been stationed there since February 2009. She'd joined the State Department in 1983.

This morning the Guardian's Matthew Weaver reported from London that "five people, including three Americans" had been rescued from the Hôtel Montana, according to a jubilant Tweet from 'Fireside Int,' who has been posting regular updates from Haiti since Tuesday.

Haiti has been forever changed; there is now so much of the world's attention on the country it won't be allowed to wallow in its miserable existence prior to the January 12 earthquake. But between now and a corner turned in the lives of Haiti's survivors there are at least 40,000 Americans who need to be tracked down in the country and the survivors evacuated. Most poignantly, many of the Americans were in Haiti on a mission of mercy: to help the earthquake-ravaged country totter back onto its feet.

The Thursday ABC report noted that an American named Rudy Bennet is trapped in the rubble of the Hôtel Montana, and that he'd been texting relatives in the U.S. No word yet on the names of the American survivors Fireside Tweeted about.

Another day has dawned in Haiti. It's going to be another day of hell to live through, another day of hell to watch from afar. But what I took from the movie "Hotel Rwanda" is that if one's fortunate enough to find a good hotel in hell, the least one can do is stay engaged with what's going on and maintain a stiff upper lip.
****************************
See also my January 12 post Haiti Earthquake with 23 (or 24) updates. I decided it was time to start a new post after I lost track of the number of updates. Brenda at RBO added a zillion or so videos to her crossposts of all the updates. Between us we managed to chronicle our impressions of the first 48 hours of the earthquake's aftermath.

Thursday, January 14

Latest Updates to Haiti Earthquake Post as of 5:20 PM ET

Crisis on top of crisis -- See Updates #18 - 22 in my original post published January 12 at 9:43 PM ET. Brenda at RBO has put up additional updates has added scads more videos to her crosspost of my updates. But #23 update: The Marines are on their way

Aaron Klein gets his own radio show! Take that, Gorgeous George!

I'm very happy to report that the intrepid Aaron Klein, investigative journalist, World Net Daily's Jerusalem bureau chief, and for years a regular contributor about Middle Eastern affairs for the John Batchelor Show, will be hosting a two-hour radio show of his own.

The show will broadcast from Jerusalem this Sunday the 17th. Air time: 4:00 to 6:00 PM Eastern time on 77 WABC-AM radio, the New York City station with the largest reach in the U.S. The show can also be heard online here at the WABC website.

Aaron will be taking questions from the audience. The call-in number to speak with him on air is 1-800-848-WABC or 800-848-9222.

The show will focus on Aaron's investigations into the Obama administration and also report on the latest U.S. and world news -- I assume with emphasis on Middle Eastern affairs and terrorism issues.

Aaron is the author of two books: Schmoozing With Terrorists: From Hollywood to the Holy Land, Jihadists Reveal Their Global Plans — to a Jew! (2007) and The Late Great State of Israel: How Enemies Within and Without Threaten the Jewish Nation's Survival (2009).

During the 2008 presidential campaign Aaron and John (whose show also broadcasts on WABC) conducted a WABC radio interview with a senior Hamas official who praised then-candidate Barack Obama. The interview made world headlines and became a dominant theme of the election campaign.

Batchelor listeners will remember that in 2005 John and Aaron had an adventure when they received permission to broadcast a show from Syria then learned Aaron was denied entry because he was Jewish. In solidarity John made a grand scene and refused to enter Syria. The show was broadcast instead from Amman, Jordan, where John and Aaron sat around and told the world what happened to them, embarrassing the heck out of Syria's government.

Those two had other adventures in that part of the world in the course of broadcasting John's show, and 'adventure' is Aaron's middle name. There was the time (Gorgeous) George Galloway threw Aaron out of his office and accused him of being a Zionist agent when Aaron referred to Hamas as a terrorist organization.

That would be the same Gorgeous George who was caught lying under oath to a U.S. Senate subcommittee, and who inspired my little musical tribute in 2005. So, in honor of Aaron's debut as a radio show host, I'll republish the tribute here. If you're not familiar with the rest of the quartet -- no matter; they're all rascals.

Vladimir "Lips" Zhirinovsky, "Gorgeous" George Galloway, David B. "Bunny" Chalmers, and Charles "Poofdaddy" Pasqua practicing for their American Idol audition:

'We're NOT crooks doo-wop doo-wop! We're not CROOKS yabba dabba! We got you goin in circles doo-wop!'

Simon to Paula: Who told them there was a Four Tops - Barber Shop Quartet - Frank Sinatra Soundalike category?

Paula to Simon: Probably the ABC Primetime crew.

Randy: (Wrapping his head in a towel) Okay dogs, you got 15 seconds.

'Doo-wop Doo-wop doop doop diddy
Talk about the boys from Ripoff City!
Talk to our bankers we ain't signed nothin
Talk to our lawyers we ain't seen nothin
O we're the same old song
Just a diff'rent meaning with the billions gone!
So here is our love song, not fancy or fine
We got you goin in circles
And we did it ouuuuur waaaaaaaaaaay
Doop!'

Wednesday, January 13

Americans, get to know your Mexico neighbor better. No wonder Lou Dobbs was yanked from CNN.

Before I sign off for the day I'll pass along this stomach-turning report from The New York Times (H/T Foreign Policy Initiative) dateline January 12:
When it comes to gore, Mexico’s drug traffickers seem to compete among themselves for the title of most depraved. One will chop off the heads of victims. Another will string dead rivals from bridges or burn their genitals. Recently, hit men removed the face from a dead man and sewed it onto a soccer ball.

On Tuesday, Mexican authorities announced the capture of one of those who they said had been active in this game of one upmanship, Teodoro Eduardo Garcia Simental, described as a ruthless drug lord based just south of the American border in Tijuana. Mr. García’s trademark, when not trafficking marijuana and methamphetamine to the United States, was boiling rivals in barrels of lye in what has become known as pozole, for the Mexican stew, the authorities said. [...]
Not to be tedious but when will the U.S. government break down and admit they've been pandering long enough to Mexico's oligarchs and corrupt regimes? And that they've been playing ostrich about Mexico's descent into hell, which is not simply a drug trafficking or gang problem?

And please, no huffy email from CNN. Nobody past the age of 12 believes that pressure to remove Lou Dobbs's show from CNN didn't come from the highest levels of government in Mexico and the United States.

However, the news from Haiti today, the news from Mexico, the news from John Batchelor's show about evidence of al Qaeda's involvement with Venezuela's drug trafficking, all point to the need for Washington to develop a rational strategy for U.S. relations with the rest of the Western Hemisphere.

Tuesday, January 12

Haiti earthquake (UPDATED 23 X as of 4:10 PM ET)

(All times in these notes are Eastern Standard)

See my 2:20 PM update about some aid agencies being evacuated.

UPDATE 1/14 5:20 PM

Reuters: U.S. military mobilizes thousands for Haiti relief: "The U.S. military is mobilizing thousands of soldiers, sailors and Marines for relief efforts in Haiti."

    MORE THAN 5,000 MARINES, SOLDIERS

    * Up to 3,500 soldiers from the U.S. Army's 82nd Airborne Division at Fort Bragg will be deployed in Haiti by Sunday. An advance group of about 125 troops will arrive on Thursday and 800 more will arrive on Friday.

    * Another 2,200 Marines from the 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit at Camp Lejeune, N.C., may arrive this weekend or at the latest by Monday for what initially is expected to be about a 90-day deployment.

    AMPHIBIOUS GROUP, FLOATING HOSPITAL

    * An amphibious readiness group with three ships -- the USS Bataan, the USS Fort McHenry and USS Carter Hall -- will take the Marines to Haiti. This group can produce its own purified water.

    * A U.S. Navy aircraft carrier, the USS Carl Vinson, with a crew of between 4,000-5,000 sailors on board, is on the way and will arrive in the area by Friday, with 19 helicopters on board. It has three operating rooms, several dozen hospital beds and can produce fresh water

    * But the much-anticipated hospital ship, the USNS Comfort, will not arrive until around Jan 22 with its 12 operating rooms and 250 hospital beds. The Pentagon says the Comfort is a slow-moving vessel and will need a week to arrive in Haiti.

    * Two additional ships, the USS Underwood and the USS Normandy, are also headed to Haiti.
*********************UPDATE 4:10 PM
From RBO: 3:34 PM 1/14:
It needs to be said. This situation has moved from earthquake status to aftershock to bringing in supplies and helpers but all too late. No way to move debris to find bodies dead or alive. This is when all the horror stories start and the occasional miracle happens. Heat, filth, rubble, hopelessness. All the $100 million contributions cannot change this picture.
From my emails to correspondents over the past hour:

Oh, man
Shep Smith (Fox) just asked reporter on the ground whether that was a body or live being bulldozed in the rubble behind him. Reporter has evidentially gotten used to seeing his. He said there's no more living in that rubble. he said this is one of the stinkiest areas of city. So this means we can forget trying to get anywhere near an accurate death toll.

Looters now following in the wake
Reporter he was just speaking with said they better get security in there fast
Aftershocks are continuing. You're right. They need to abandon the city. Weather report just now: hot and humid. Well, at there's no rain to contribute to mudslides. Also, a major tourist town was devastated. I have lost the name of the town in the shuffle of reports.

No evidence of organized relief operation
Fox reporter just said that when he arrived at airport about 9 hrs ago he expected to see pallets of water and food piled up. Nothing.

From Fox: Haitians descending on airport trying to get out
Very dangerous situation building up. All Haitians fearing riots will break out. Of course airport is reserved for just a few people getting out and aid flights coming in. "Haitians realize it's now every man, woman, child for himself." Temperature 90 degrees; smell of rotting corpses overwhelming. No signs left of organized attempt to dig out survivors from "acres and acres" of rubble. (French sending in about 70 rubble clearing experts.) Now all efforts on getting aid to those still alive.
quake.
************************
UPDATE 1/14 2:50 PM

(See 2:20 update about some aid agencies being evacuated.)

Fox: US military has established FOB at Haiti airport. They will coordinate all flights into and from the airport and they're going to oversee offloading of all the supplies. They're bringing in forklifts so that will halt the gridlock (see last update), although it could take several hours.

> WSJ reports:

    The Toussaint L'Ouverture International Airport in Port-au-Prince is overwhelmed, and the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration has put a ground stop into place for all U.S.-originating aircraft, including military, until 4 p.m. EST. Parking space on the airport ramp is limited, and many military and humanitarian aircraft are already on the ground there. The airport has also run out of aircraft fuel, so inbound planes have to carry enough fuel to be able to leave without refueling.

    According to the FAA, the humanitarian response is so overwhelming that air-traffic controllers in Haiti can't handle the volume of flights arriving in Port-au-Prince. The airspace "is saturated," said Kathleen Bergen, an FAA spokeswoman for the agency's southern region in College Park, Ga. Aircraft are holding in the air and en route to Haiti, she said, because the capital's airport isn't accepting any additional flights at the time.

    The control tower is inoperative; the U.S. military is providing air traffic control. With thousands of victims camped out at the Port-Au-Prince airport and little or no electricity at the site, officials are constrained in their ability to handle the flow of planes. Night operations will pose particular problems.

    Making matters worse is the that supplies cannot come in by sea. Haiti's main seaport has "collapsed and is not operational," says Maersk Line's Mary Ann Kotlarich. The main dock is partially submerged. Cranes that moved containers on and off ships at the port are now partially under water and listing badly. Ships carrying supplies have nowhere to dock.

    Numerous maritime companies are trying to devise stop-gap solutions, but nothing is in place yet.

*************************Crisis on top of crisis

UPDATE 1/14 2:30 PM
> Fox reported that some aid agencies (didn't say how many or which ones) are now evacuating their people from Port au Prince to protect them because of the worsening security situation there and difficulty getting enough food/water to their own people.

> Fox reports traffic jam: The international airport in Haiti was just reopened for 24 service a few hours ago but now the FAA is limiting and/or suspending flights into the airport because there's no room on the tarmac for all the supplies being off-loaded. There's only one landing strip and not enough equipment for offloading the huge pallets of supplies.

Also, there's a gasoline shortage so pilots are being warned that depending on where they're coming in from, they might not have enough fuel for return trip.

> Fox reporter in Puerto Rico says that because of the airport problem in Haiti many of the large transport planes are landing at the international airport in that country, which is only two hours from Haiti. Then they wait for clearance to take off for Haiti.

> Fox reports that the port is still not open.

> From a CNN TV report this morning, evidentially there is potable water in some parts and/or buildings in Port au Prince; earlier today a reporter at a hotel there showed that hotel staff had turned on the water, run a large garden hose from a sink, and slung it over the balcony to people on the street. People were going there with any kind of container they could find to fill up.

How did the hotel manage to keep safe water? Unknown, but if it's just that they have an enough gasoline stockpiled to keep emergency generator running to pump the water, well, that would be one explanation. I think I know which hotel this is -- probably the same one that's opened its doors to foreign journalists, aid officials and not charging them anything.
************************
1:20 PM - Notes

After I posted the 6:45 AM update for 1/14 I crashed for a few hours, during which Brenda at RBO continued adding updates at her blog, which I'm now posting below. So we're up to 17 updates, I think, or at least according to Brenda. She also added four U.S. Navy videos to the 6:45 update (See her blog.)

The big news of the morning is that U.S. Special Operations got the Haiti airport functional enough that it's now reopened for 24-hour operations. That is huge; now critical supplies can start flooding in. (See 9:45 AM update below for more info).

Brenda also sent me this: New: Tweet @southcomwatch or go to SOUTHCOM.mil -- US Southern Command -- for Haiti updates.
**************************
UPDATE 1/14 12:10 PM

Charles Forelle and Pooja Bhatia report for the WSJ Haiti Despairs as Quake Deaths Mount:

    Haitians grew desperate for international aid on Thursday as survivors from the earthquake that killed an untold number of people pleaded for medical care, tried to dig out their loved ones from the rubble or roamed the streets looking for basic necessities.

    Tens of thousands of survivors were huddled in the city's plazas and streets. The stink of human waste hung in the air. A grim silence was pierced by an occasional cry for help from beneath the ruins. [...]

    As dawn broke on Thursday, people could be seen wandering the streets, clutching few possessions: pots, pans, suitcases, duffel bags, plastic bags.

    A Chinese rescue team and two rescue teams from the U.S. arrived late on Wednesday, officials said. About 50 Chinese rescue workers in orange jumpsuits arrived with trained dogs aboard an Air China plane. United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon said the U.N. would coordinate the rescue teams from various nations that will be arriving in coming days.

    Relief teams with the U.S. Army's 82nd Airborne division are expected to arrive later on Thursday, and the U.S. aircraft carrier Carl Vinson is steaming toward the island. U.S. Coast Guard vessels are already working to evacuate some of the injured, including U.S. citizens, officials said. [...]
youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nvzu3sTjels]
***************************
UPDATE 1/14 9:45 AM

White House: U.S. Special Operations Reopens Haitian Airport

Elizabeth Williamson, WSJ, reported 9:41 AM:

    U.S. special operations forces have reopened Haiti's airport and United Nations and U.S.-led teams have begun rescue efforts in the earthquake-stricken nation, according to a government situation report issued Thursday morning and obtained by The Wall Street Journal. [...]

    According to the report, distributed internally after the White House meeting, the airport at Port-au-Prince is now able to conduct round-the clock operations, after repairs to its quake-damaged control tower led by the Pentagon's Southern Command. U.S. teams have set up a reception center for disaster relief personnel now entering the country.
*************************
UPDATE 6:45 AM Thursday, January 14

Who's in Charge?

Dazed Blue Helmets

Veteran Reuters reporter, Briton Andrew Cawthorne's haunting, evocative journal entries as he sorts through his impressions since arriving in Haiti.
[...] U.N. peacekeepers -- 9,000 are stationed in Haiti -- dot the streets but look bemused, overwhelmed and worried about their own circumstances.

"I have not even been able to call my wife yet. She may think I'm dead," said one Chilean peacekeeper, who asked not to be named.

He and some blue-helmet colleagues from other Latin American nations sat on a line of vehicles -- including a tractor, earth-mover, and two cranes -- facing a road covered in rubble that they had been tasked with clearing.

"Where do we start? Just look at this," the soldier said. "And imagine what it's like in the areas we can't get to." [...]
Road clearing? The heavy machinery is needed now for rescuing people buried under rubble. Who's in charge? Chaos. Despair.
French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner told French media his country's ambassador reported that everyone in the U.N. building, including mission chief Hedi Annabi, appeared to be dead. U.N. officials would say only that Annabi is unaccounted for." (AP/Fox - January 13)
Washington Post January 14:
150 U.N. staff members remain trapped under rubble in Haiti

As rescue crews dug through the wreckage of the Christopher Hotel, which houses the mission's headquarters in Port-au-Prince, the world body confirmed the deaths of 16 officials, including 13 Brazilian and Jordanian peacekeepers. However, it said it expected that most of those still missing would not survive.

"It's clear a high number of them might be dead," said Alain Le Roy, the top U.N. peacekeeping official.
Fog of War

Yesterday Fox announced that all 172 U.S. embassy staff were accounted for. Today's Washington Post reports:
U.S. officials expressed particular concern about the 172 Americans posted at the embassy, and about the roughly 45,000 Americans who live in Haiti, few of whom had been in contact with officials by midday [Wednesday]. The embassy building is one of a handful that were relatively unscathed, officials said, and is serving as the center of the U.S. relief effort.
For now I'm going to assume that the staff are okay. I'll check again later today.

Gunshots

Yesterday evening a CNN anchor mentioned that Dr. Sanjay Gupta, who'd arrived earlier in the day in Port au Prince, had reported that he'd heard gunshots. The anchor didn't say where Gupta was when he heard the shots. Ever since the quake has struck there has been cooperation in the rescue efforts and no reports of major looting or serious crime. But that could change quickly.

Also yesterday the head of the country's national police set some confusion to rest; he explained that the authorities had released all the prisoners in the main prison because the roof was starting to collapse. That moots yesterday's hot question of whether the U.S. and Haiti's government should consider sending the prisoners to Gitmo. First the released prisoners would have go be found and quite understandably they've made themselves scarce. The police chief is asking police forces around the world to send officers to Haiti and pitch in with law enforcement.

Relief Effort from Stateside: a colossus girds for battle against disaster

Larry Johnson (who had worked for the U.S. Dept. of State for years) reporting on John Batchelor's radio show last night. From my notes on his discussion:

-- For a humanitarian effort, all U.S. military in Haiti would report to the U.S. Ambassador, not the U.S. military command.

-- USAID (under the U.S. Department of State's authority) has activated the OFDA disaster response plan, headed up by Rajiv Shah. That's what President Obama and his cabinet were working on yesterday and helping to coordinate the plan with myriad agencies.

-- The plan is textbook and well-rehearsed, so all that the Obama team had to do was follow instructions. Larry (who is no friend of the Obama Administration) has given Obama good marks for his efforts.

So far everything is proceeding like clockwork -- except, I note, the web page for OFDA, which as of 2:00 AM had not been updated with information about the response to Haiti. However, the site has plenty of information so you can get an idea of what they're doing.

State's DipNote blog is providing information on that agency's efforts and provides information sources; they've also set up links for texting donations to relief agencies.

-- Larry: OFDA activated search-and-rescue teams in Los Angeles, Fairfax (Virgina) and Miami-Dade County. These are three of the best trained teams in the United States. They got the plane packed and were off to Haiti within 24 hours --- half the usual time. They take their own supplies; they understand there won't be any supplies in Haiti.

-- Larry, in answer to John's question about how people in Haiti are functioning without food and potable water: "The adrenaline rush has kept people going; it's like that during the first two days. On the third and fourth days people start to crash."

Today's Washington Post:
[...] Naval ships steamed south and flights began shuttling search-and-rescue teams to dig through rubble in Port-au-Prince. Military aircraft flew over the island, mapping the destruction, while U.S. officials coordinated the efforts of nongovernmental aid agencies. Coast Guard helicopters began flying seriously wounded Americans from the U.S. Embassy on the island nation to the U.S. military base at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, about 200 miles away.

[...]

But even as U.S. agencies lined up to help, officials sounded a note of concern, saying they are deeply worried about whether Haiti's infrastructure can handle the influx of help. The island's airport and seaport sustained substantial damage in the temblor.

"If the port is severely damaged, that makes it very, very difficult" to deliver relief supplies, said U.S. Coast Guard Rear Adm. James A. "Jim" Watson IV, director of Atlantic area operations.[...]
Last night Fox reported that the port is "unusable." From what John Batchelor reported last night I think it's more accurate to say that the port is closed for U.S. inspection; it has to be certified safe for offloading all the heavy equipment. The extent of the damage to the port is unknown at this point -- at least, as of early this morning. The U.S. is deploying a veritable armada, including a floating hospital. See Wikipedia for the list.

Haiti's Neighbor

The Dominican Republic has not had terribly friendly relations with Haiti, their only neighbor on the island of Hispaniola. However, DR's president and the citizens of that country have thrown themselves into doing whatever they can to help the Haitians in their darkest hour. According to Wikipedia's section on international assistance at their 2010 Haiti Earthquake page:
President Leonel Fernández rallied the international community to help its neighbor to overcome a "real tragedy." Its air force is currently picking up survivors for aid and is transporting trained dogs to sniff for victims under rubble.

The Dominican government has sent eight mobile medical units along with 36 doctors including orthopedics, traumatologists, anesthesiologists, and surgeons. As well, 39 trucks with canned food have been dispatched, along with 10 mobile kitchens and 110 cooks who can prepare 100,000 meals per day.

The Dominican Airport at El Higuero (5 miles North of Santo Domingo) is working as a hub to carry help local and international resources. According to sources, 19 private planes and 14 military helicopters are being used to carry help to Haiti.

An air bridge is working between Port-au-Prince and Santiago where people are being attended at the Hospital Metropolitano de Santiago (HOMS), a private hospital in Santiago city.[...]
Andrew Cawthorne was not impressed. From his 12:38 AM ET entry today:
[...] There appears to be little major relief work under way yet.

Neighboring Dominican Republic has sent in some truckloads of aid and a few ambulances, which came screaming back out of Haiti with some injured people before night fell on Wednesday
He hasn't seen the air bridge. I don't think he got much sleep:
In the frightening pitch black of quake-stricken Haiti's night, religious songs rise from groups of people huddled in open spaces for safety and solidarity.

The chanting and clapping, mainly by women, echo from hill to hill, street to street, as Haitians pray for their dead and ask God to spare them more suffering after an earthquake that has killed thousands and flattened much of the capital.

While the widespread singing provides comfort, the jarring shrieks and sobs of injured children -- some lying in the street clutching bloody gashes -- are a haunting reminder of the untended suffering in Haiti.
The dawn has arrived in Haiti. I haven't looked at television yet to see what the new day brings. I myself stayed awake through the night. I'll sleep now, for a few hours, then turn on the TV.
*****************************************
UPDATE 6:30 PM
> Fox report at 6:00 PM:

"US has accounted for all 172 embassy employees in Haiti"
"Giant C-4 aid delivery planes arriving at airport- pilots flying in by sight"

> Interesting Tom Foreman discussion at CNN around 5:00 PM about the physics of the quake -- quoting scientists who're trying to estimate the number of dead. He showed that the quake 'run' was actually away from the most heavily populated area (shanty towns on hillsides) toward the least populated. He also noted that the shanty town houses tended to have lighter roofs -- e.g., tin. This might mean fewer deaths than in better off areas using concrete.

UPDATE 4:30 PM

(Fox reported at 4:45 that State Dept. was giving a briefing on the situation in Haiti. It's being televised on CSPAN2.)

> 4:00 PM summary from Fox News Cable:

The port at the moment "not usable."

Sewer service and potable water not available

Most of 45,000 Americans in Haiti still unaccounted for.

Citigroup reports that their office in Port au Prince (or suburb; they didn't specify) was destroyed. "The fate of the 40 Citi employees in the building is unknown."

> The news about the port is very disturbing because it's confirmed that only one runway at the international airport is working and tower communications are still out. So the first thing they have to do, before U.S. relief ships can dock, is repair the port.

> "A Coast Guard helicopter evacuated four critically injured U.S. Embassy staff to the naval station in Guantanamo for treatment, a statement from the U.S. Southern Command said." -- See report below for link.

> Around 3:30 PM Fox interviewed some sort of official (sorry; it's been a hectic day) who said the Pentagon doesn't want to discuss the possibility, at this point ,of transferring Haitian refugees or prisoners from the damaged or destroyed main Haiti prison to Guantanamo. Official said that military is saying that this is an issue for another day. That comports with what SOCOM Gen. Foley said during the briefing this morning.

> Despite the alleged port disrepair, and while several countries are sending all kinds of aid (e.g., Italy sending a mobile hospital), this is fast shaping up to be a U.S. military story, as it was during the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami. U.S. has close proximity to Haiti and is marshaling aid via military/Coast Guard ships. Brenda just sent information about U.S. military actions to help Haiti, which I will put up below.

> Even though CNN is doing great coverage of the disaster and has already gotten what seems to be several reporters into Port au Prince, Fox cable now seems to be focusing on interviews with U.S. military/civilian government spokespersons stateside. So if you're following the situation via American TV, keep checking back at Fox News Cable as well -- and don't neglect their website if you can't get Fox cable.

> The U.S. Department of State is reportedly going to give a televised briefing at some point this afternoon on U.S. aid efforts. That according to Fox. We'll see.

> Also, don't neglect Wikipedia as a source. As they did with the swine flu outbreak they've marshaled a small army of volunteers to keep the public updated. See 2010 Haiti Earthquake page. They provide information on international aid efforts, donations, etc.

> Okay, here's what Brenda sent. (When she crossposts this 12th update she'll be adding more videos.)

YouTube videos on SOCOM and USAID briefings on U.S. aid.

1. Report: U.S. Coast Guard, Navy head to Haiti to help with earthquake relief efforts.
U.S. Coast Guard crews are clearing ports in Haiti of debris and flying overhead to assess damage today while Navy sailors are en route to the country in the wake of Tuesday's devastating earthquake.

Coast Guard vessels and aircraft left for Haiti at 3:30 this morning, with the cutters tasked with making sure the ports are open and free of debris so relief supplies can arrive and the aircraft charged with assessing the damage and identifying places where people need help, said Petty Officer James Harless, of Coast Guard District 7 in Miami.

The Coast Guard sent four cutters to Haiti — Valiant, from Miami; Forward, from Portsmouth, Va.; Tahoma, from Portsmouth, N.H., and Mohawk, from Key West, Fla. The Coast Guard also sent two C-130 aircraft, one fixed-wing Falcon and three HH-60 "Jayhawks."

A Coast Guard helicopter evacuated four critically injured U.S. Embassy staff to the naval station in Guantanamo for treatment, a statement from the U.S. Southern Command said.

"This is just a really bad situation with a lot of devastation, and unfortunately it looks like a lot of loss of life," said Lt. Cmdr. Rob Wyman, Coast Guard Atlantic Area public affairs officer. "We're engaged and acting quickly to get the right pieces in place to contribute to the overall response effort. We're doing everything we can right now."

The U.S. Southern Command is sending a team of 30 people to Haiti to support the relief efforts. The team includes military engineers, planners, a command and control group and communication specialists.

A U.S. Navy P-3 Orion aircraft from the Forward Operating Location at Comalapa, El Salvador, took off early this morning to survey the area affected by the earthquake and a Navy aircraft carrier, USS Carl Vinson, is expected to arrive off the coast of Haiti Thursday, according to SOUTHCOM.

The Air Force is going to the international airport at Port au Prince to help with air traffic control and airfield operations. They are expected to arrive in Haiti this afternoon.

President Barack Obama said in a statement that he has directed the administration to "respond with a swift, coordinated and aggressive effort to save lives."

"The people of Haiti will have the full support of the United States in the urgent effort to rescue those trapped beneath the rubble, and to deliver the humanitarian relief, the food, water and medicine, that Haitians will need in the coming days," Obama said. "In that effort, our government, especially USAID and the Departments of State and Defense are working closely together and with our partners in Haiti, the region, and around the world."

Obama designated the administrator of the U.S. Agency for International Development, Dr. Rajiv Shah, to be the government's unified disaster coordinator.
2. Report:
The U.S. military has a long history of involvement in Haiti, including major interventions like Operation Uphold Democracy in 1994 and 1995. More recently, Haiti has been a destination for military-led humanitarian assistance missions like Continuing Promise 2009, pictured here. The Associated Press, quoting White House sources, says that less than 20 U.S. military personnel are currently in the country, and they are prepared to take part in humanitarian operations.
3. Report:
Thousands of Hampton Roads sailors received orders this morning to prepare to deploy to Haiti as part of a massive U.S. effort to deliver humanitarian assistance in the wake of Tuesday’s devastating earthquake.

At least four Norfolk-based ships are getting ready to leave for the impoverished country, said Ted Brown, a spokesman with Norfolk’s Fleet Forces Command. The amphibious assault ship Bataan, the guided missile cruiser Normandy and the dock landing ships Fort McHenry and Carter Hall will likely leave port by Friday, the Navy said.

Expeditionary forces based at the Little Creek campus of the Joint Expeditionary Base also are preparing to deploy, Brown said.

Additional Navy ships that will deliver humanitarian assistance include the frigate Underwood, based in Mayport, Fla., and the hospital ship Comfort, homeported in Baltimore.

The San Diego-based aircraft carrier Carl Vinson, which left Norfolk on Tuesday after finishing its midlife overhaul, has been redirected to load equipment and supplies to assist in the recovery, Brown said.

Several U.S. Coast Guard ships also have been deployed to the area, including the Portsmouth-based cutter Forward, which arrived in Haiti early this morning, said Senior Chief Petty Officer Steve Carleton. The Coast Guard’s first order of business will be to assess whether main ports near Port-au-Prince are clear to receive ships carrying aid, Carleton said.
UPDATE 3:00 PM

> CNN reported at 2:45 PM that "miraculously" Haitians are uploading images of the devastation and relief work to social media sites, notably YouTube and Facebook. "The images are flooding in." This is helping aid workers, government disaster planners get a handle on the situation.

Miraculous is right; last night reports were that cell phone towers were down -- obviously, not all of them, even though it's still extremely hard to get calls into and out of Haiti.

This is a history-making use of Web 2.0; the trend was obvious during the Iranian protests last year, when social media played the critical role in getting out news. But the use of social media in Haiti is providing unprecedented intel in a disaster of this kind, which will translate to many lives saved.

> Also, just now, from Fox Cable News:

"There is no clean water in Haiti." I think they must mean in Port au Prince and suburbs, but in any case the water situation for about two million people is dire.

Huge need for donated blood.

Main prison "out of commission." (General Foley was asked during his 12:40 PM for SOCOM whether the Pentagon was considering transferring prisoners frm the prison to Guantanamo. He said the situation was under review.)

(3:10 PM Fox) Military confirmed only one runway in operation. Ships from U.S. will play a major role in getting aid to Haiti

> CNN: Dr Sanjay Gupta is now on the ground in Port au Prince. I assume he's simply dived in and is giving medical assistance in any way he can and will report on a catch-can basis. CNN has seemingly marshaled every one of their bureaus around the world to work on this story. They've recognized the importance of this story and are giving it full attention.
**************************
UPDATE 12:45 PM

All these reports from CNN:

> Gen. Foley SOCOM press briefing on Haiti at 12:40 PM: Runway at international airport seems in good condition but control tower does not have communications and passenger terminal is damaged. Another source mentioned only one runway -- not clear on that, or whether it's just that only one runway is operable. SOCOM still assessing the situation there but Navy carrier, Coast Guard cutter and ships on the way.

> There are between 40-45,000 Americans in Haiti; many are unaccounted for.

> Anderson Cooper landed in Haiti around noon. He's already given a report from the streets of Port au Prince near the destroyed cathedral. Before he lost audio around 1:15 PM he mentioned he was heading for the hospital -- whether this means there's only one hospital functioning, unknown. Anderson or his camera person got a lot of footage of rescue efforts, devastation.

He reported seeing at least 25 bodies in the streets during his drive; people using their bare hands, shovels, pick axes to dig out survivors under the rubble.

He said electricity and water are out.

> Doctors without Borders reports that several of their people are unaccounted for and that all three of their aid stations are "inoperable" because of the quake.

> At least 15 UN peacekeeping troops in addition to at least 100 UN staff dead or missing.

> Red Cross reports that all local relief agencies are overwhelmed.

> Haitian PM reports to CNN that the aid agencies that usually can be depended on to help are in need in help. Either he or the President estimated "hundreds of thousands" dead. To my knowledge there is no footage yet of the huge shanty towns in the mountains around Port au Prince, where we can expect that many were killed during the quake.

> In 2008 Port au Prince mayor turned in a report saying that 60 per cent of the city's buildings were shoddy construction.

> At this point, from all the reports and the footage I've seen, there is calm in the streets and if there's looting, it doesn't seem to be widespread at this point. Clearly the residents of Port au Prince are pulling together in the rescue effort. However, many if not most of the residents are simply out in the streets, with nowhere to go. The water situation could approach crisis level if not fixed soon.

> RBO has added more videos, including two from CNN and a third on the UN building, to their crosspost of my latest update.
****************************
UPDATE 11:00 AM
Fox News, 8 minutes ago:
Haiti Archbishop Killed in Quake as Churches, Cathedral Reduced to Rubble[...] The body of Msgr. Joseph Serge Miot, 65, was found under the rubble of the archdiocese, and may be one of only hundreds of victims trapped in the ruins of the building.

The apostolic nuncio in Haiti, Msgr. Bernardito Auza, said that the cathedral and all the major churches and semiaries in Port-au-Prince were devastated and reduced to piles of rubble. Hundreds of seminarians and priests were trapped in the rubble, he told Vatican Radio.
See Fox for link to translation of Vatican announcement.

All right; I really am logging off now.
***************************************
UPDATE 8:40 AM Wednesday
> Just getting back online. This morning Brenda Elliot at RBO crossposted this post and added several videos.

> The timing of the Haiti quake is like the one in Indonesia last year -- it struck just around dinner time, a little before 5 PM; that means many people were in their homes.

> Reuters reports World Bank office in Haiti "destroyed" and "most bank employees were accounted for." The Bank announced last night that they're "ready to send a team to Haiti to assess the extent of damage caused by the earthquake and begin working on plans for rebuilding the country." Bank will "mobilize aid" but no specifics yet on the dollar amount.

> CNN reported that the U.S. Coast Guard cutter, Tahoma, will be heading for Haiti (or is already enroute).

> I don't know how much they have in Dominican Republic by way of earth-moving machines but probably not much more than in Haiti, which has practically none. So unless US, other countries, are airlifting in those machines, well, there won't be many survivors in places where they can't dig out trapped people with their bare hands and hand tools -- unless they can get the machines there fast by ships. U.S. also checking whether the international airport runway is in good enough shape to take large cargo planes.

> Freedom Fairy commented at RBO, "The rate of poverty and the general lack of ANYTHING will make this a decade-long recovery to get back to zero."

Right. Haiti doesn't have oil, natural gas, or any significant strategic resources that would make it an attractive candidate for nation building. And it's not in a strategic location for any world power. But maybe the scope of the earthquake disaster will galvanize the U.S., France, and other countries to redouble poverty-reduction measures there.

> I'm signing off for the rest of the day. It seems half the reporters on the planet are headed for Haiti. CNN's coverage is excellent, from what I saw last night. Uppity Woman has posted videos and photos (some graphic) and comment threads. And as I mentioned last night, social media are doing heavy lifting on reports out of Haiti, which are still hard to come by. See Twitter and Facebook.
****************************
UPDATE 1:30 AM Wednesday
Thoughts before I sign off:

Haiti trumps all other news tomorrow and maybe for rest of week

Dawn in Port au Prince will tell the scope of the damage but if it's as bad as feared -- major humanitarian disaster along the lines of 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami. This could bring up an indictment of US policies: ranging far and wide but not paying enough attention to our part of Western Hemisphere.

The quake depth in Haiti was shallow (6 miles) and the 'run' was only 15 miles, even though the fault is much longer. Shallow and compact, which is what made it so deadly, according to the CNN meteorologist.
************************************
UPDATE 12:35 AM
CNN anchor: "Port au Prince is largely destroyed."

Contrary to earlier reports this wasn't the worst earthquake in recorded history to hit Haiti; there was one in the 1940s that was 8.0. (The New York times reports, however, that the quake is "the worst in the region in more than 200 years.")
*******************************
UPDATE 12:25 AM
> Some buildings in presidential palace have collapsed but CNN has received confirmation that Haiti's President is safe.

> One US official: "Expect large number of casualties."

> CNN reporter who's been in Port au Prince several times said that the horror of the situation is that the slums are built up the hillsides and that domiciles on the inclines are so densely packed, almost on top of each other, that a vehicle can't get through. In one slum alone there are about 230,00 people.
********************************
UPDATE 12:10 AM
> CNN - UN - Richard Roth on phone from New York: Re UN HQ collapse in Port au Prince; 5 story bldg., bldg. can hold about 230 people. UN reports that many staff (from countries around the world) unaccounted for; UN trying to learn how many trapped/dead. Other UN buildings around the city damaged; UN can't determine extent of damage or number of victims.

> UN has had 9,000 peacekeepers stationed in Haiti for years, which has helped the country stabilize.

> From an earlier CNN report: one reason for extensive devastation is massive deforestation because of cutting down trees to use for household fuel; this means few tree roots to absorb the earthquake shocks/after-shocks.
***************************************
UPDATE 11:00 PM
Anderson Cooper just said at some point he's turning rest of tonight's show over to Tom Foreman or another CNN reporter; Anderson said he's going to try to get a flight to Dominican Republic or Haiti. He just reported that supposedly the border between Dominican Republic and Haiti is closed.

> Ministry of Commerce in Port au Prince and UN HQ have collapsed and presidential palace has been damaged although how much is unclear.

> Part of the problem is something called an "S Wave" -- which CNN weather reporter just explained -- the way the shocks travel from that particular kind of earthquake. The wave puts the top and bottom of buildings out of alignment, so it's not just shoddy construction that's causing so many collapses.

> The weather reporter also mentioned that an earthquake expert had warned in 2008 that Haiti would be struck by a major earthquake, which the expert pegged at 7.2. So he wasn't off by much.

> CNN reports that a big problem is that there are few earth-moving machines and other types of machines that can help dig people out of the rubble. Reportedly there are many cries for help, many trapped.
************************************
UPDATE - 10:43 PM
Anderson Cooper 360 at CNN doing wall-to-wall coverage of Haiti earthquake and it looks as if CNN will go all night or most of it on the story. After Greta Van Susteren's show on Fox New Cable(10-11 PM), that cable station will probably bed down for the night, if the Jakarta hotel bombings last year were any indication. CNN stayed with that story from the moment it broke, Fox got their beauty sleep. CNN reports just now 17 aftershocks above 4.0
************************************
UPDATE - 10:06 PM
John Batchelor reports on his radio show from news source in Dominican Republic with reporter in Port au Prince:
"cell towers down across Haiti"
"airport down" (This is seemingly contradicted by an eyewitness account, but that was from earlier in the night -- see below. 1:00 AM update -- airport is okay)
"hospital down, major school down, presidential palace down" (palace may only be badly damaged; again, reports are unclear.)
******************************
My emails to correspondent re quake; all times are Eastern Standard; I corrected some data as more information became available:
7:20 PM

"As of now the President of the Dominican Republic is unable to reach Haiti's President" -- he'd tried to call to offer help. This report to Shep Smith at Fox frm Wendell Goler, Fox political reporter, who happened to be in Dominican Republic when 7.0 earthquake hit epicenter 10 miles west of Haiti's capital city Port au Prince. Even though Wendell "as far away from epicenter as he could be on the island, quake still felt."

Other reports Campbell Brown at CNN/Shep Smith at Fox
> Quake hit about 3 hrs ago.

> Tsunami watch has just been called off (7:57 PM)

> Only 1,00 hospital beds in Haiti

> Lights out. Raining for days.

> hospitals, parliamentary buildings, schools have collapsed. "Only blessing is that there aren't any skyscrapers to collapse."

> Quote from someone on the ground in Haiti "There's no 911 here and even if there was 911 there are no fire engines and even if there were fire engines there are no roads on which they can travel."

> Aid worker in Port au Prince reported that from his apartment bldg. he saw large plane taking off from international airport after the quake so it seemed the airport was still functioning.

8:30 PM
Haiti updates frm AP, CNN: "Chaos, Disaster, Terror, Panic"

> Social media sites (e.g. Facebook) playing big role in getting out news, images. Communications down -- phone lines, radio, TV out; few cell phones -- most out.

25 minutes ago frm AP: "Haiti's ambassador to the U.S., Raymond Joseph, said from his Washington office that he spoke to President Rene Preval's chief of staff, Fritz Longchamp, just after the quake hit. He said Longchamp told him that "buildings were crumbling right and left" near the national palace. He said he had not been able to get through by phone to Haiti since."

Combined reports from USAID official in Port au Prince and Haiti relief expert . CNN getting a report just now from aid worker on site via Skype

> Only road to capital city Port au Prince impassable

> Largest earthquake in region's recorded history.

"The temblor appeared to have occurred along a strike-slip fault, where one side of a vertical fault slips horizontally past the other"

> at least 4 aftershocks; one registered at 5.9

> There are two functioning firehouses in Haiti

> 1 hospital collapse so far - cries for help heard

> Not total blackout but "most" electricity down (and all electricity seems to be down in capital "pitch black" -- massive traffic jams no one knows what to do, where to go)

> Large number of un-reinforced concrete structures -- no building codes. Both officials expressed fear that these structures would pancake.

> Doesn't seem to be raining right now; one official described large dust plume after quake -- one aid official said this suggests large number of concrete structures collapsed.

AP report
> [US] State Dept. has activated disaster relief plan, officials meeting now.

An Associated Press videographer saw the wrecked hospital in Petionville, a hillside Port-au-Prince district that is home to many diplomats and wealthy Haitians, as well as many poor people. Elsewhere in the capital, a U.S. government official reported seeing houses that had tumbled into a ravine.

8:40 PM
> Aid worker outside capital reporting via Skype to CNN that he felt small aftershock 2 min ago

> Check out Facebook for images, also Twitter; social media carrying only news aside from few cell, Skype calls.

> As of now (8:45PM ) 13 aftershocks in the past three hours, 7 of them above 5.0 - 5.0 a major earthquake in itself. Quake hit densely populated area; many living on cliffsides.

> 83% Haitians live below poverty line - $2 a day or less - poorest nation in Western Hempishere -- 53% illiteracy rate.

> U.S. Geological Survey said (according to AP report) that quake had a depth of 5 miles (1 report on CNN said it had depth of 6 miles)

> ? Capital city alone has 2-3 million Haitians - city built to house only 250K. Shanties built up hillsides -- US official tells CNN he fears they've all collapsed

> "Impact your world" website at CNN shows some aid organizations specifically helping Haiti

Some orgs frm CNN website:

"A major earthquake struck near Haiti's capital, Port-au-Prince, the USGS reported. Haiti's ambassador to the U.S. said one witness described it as a "catastrophe." Here are some organizations specifically helping Haiti. [...]

How you can help:
• International Medical Corps
• Direct Relief International
• World Vision
• International Relief Teams
• Yéle Haiti
• International Red Cross
• CARE
• Catholic Relief Services
• World Food Programme
• World Concern
• Save the Children
• UNICEF USA
• More ways to help victims of NATURAL DISASTERS"

Wednesday, January 6

Kurt Haskell - Umar Abdulmutallab case: Nothing to see here folks, move along (UPDATED 1:30 PM)

Update at the end of this post.

Yesterday morning I proposed a theory about the mystery man at the center of Kurt Haskell's account of what he saw at Schiphol airport before boarding the December 25 NWA Flight 253. That afternoon Reuters reported that the Dutch public prosecutor's office had announced that the mystery man didn't exist: Umar Abdulmutallab had been alone at Schiphol:
[...] Some of the passengers on the plane had said they saw him accompanied at the gate in Amsterdam by an older, well-dressed Indian or Pakistani man. But the review of more than 200 hours of [CCTV] video showed no one with him, the officials said.
Kurt Haskell stated that he saw the mystery man with Abdulmutallab at the NWA check-in counter, not the boarding gate. To my knowledge Kurt consistently spoke of the mystery man as an Indian and not a Pakistani. And this is the first time I've come across mention of multiple sightings of the mystery man. These anomalies are probably due to the Reuters reporter not being very familiar with Kurt Haskell's story -- unless this is how we're learning that the prosecutor's office was aware of similar claims from other passengers.

The report also mentioned that Abdulmutallab went through a profile interview and a security check before waiting at the gate for his flight and that according to the prosecutor he "probably smuggled the explosives from Nigeria."

Two hours after the Reuters report published, the Associated Press weighed in with the same story and added more details:
Investigators checking more than 200 hours of security camera footage from Schiphol's shopping mall in the transfer area and departure gate say Abdulmutallab underwent a security interview and check and did nothing unusual in his three-hour stopover. Earlier, authorities said the suspect went through a routine baggage check and scan by a metal detector before boarding.

"Investigations so far have uncovered no indication that the suspect contacted possible accomplices at Schiphol, left the transfer area or behaved suspiciously," the National Prosecutor's Office said.

[...]

As well as studying video footage, investigators have seized the airline seat Abdulmutallab occupied from Lagos to Amsterdam and sent it for forensic tests to check for traces of explosives.

They also are interviewing passengers and crew on the Lagos-Amsterdam flight and ground staff ranging from security officers to check-in staff and cleaners at Schiphol.[...]
This is the Netherlands we're talking about; Kurt can't dislodge that CCTV tape by filing a FOIA request. According to his version of events all he needs is three minutes of the tape: the time he was in front of the NWA check-in counter and witnessed the mystery man with a man he believes was Abdulmutallab, and who tried to talk Abdulmutallab onto the plane without a passport by presenting him as a Sudanese refugee.

Yesterday morning I suggested that Kurt stop waiting for the tape to be released and hire a police sketch artist, then publish the image of the mystery man on the internet. By the afternoon it was clear that getting a sketch of the mystery man was the only card he had left to play. The question is whether he should play the card in light of the Dutch public prosecutor's announcement.

Over a period of a few days the FBI changed their story four times about one part of Kurt's account, until U.S. Customs finally acknowledged that yes, his eyes had not deceived him; he (and other passengers who made the same claim) had indeed seen another passenger from the same flight handcuffed and led away. But to be generous, the different stories could be explained as a typical fog-of-war situation, which easily arises when different agencies are involved and there's a great deal of confusion in the early hours or days of an incident. It would be harder to be generous with the Dutch prosecutor's statement, if Kurt's eyes didn't deceive him that day at Schiphol airport. So is Kurt Haskell being gaslighted?

Readers who've closely followed GWOT -- er, WFNVH -- could think of legitimate reasons why the public prosecutor's dog ate those three minutes of tape. But such legitimacy belongs to a very different world than the one attorney Kurt Haskell inhabits; it belongs to the shadowy, complex world of spies, counter-spies, 'assets' and moles that characterized the Cold War, which is what WFNVH has morphed into (unless you want to say that WFNVH is itself an outgrowth of the Cold War) and which just a few days ago got seven or so CIA agents blown to bits in Afghanistan.

Kurt Haskell's wife, Lori, also an attorney, writes on her blog that her favorite movie is "Legally Blonde" and that she greatly admires Ruth Bader Ginsberg. Everything I've seen about the Haskells marks them as intelligent, fair-minded, good citizens. Then, on Christmas Day, the Haskells crossed paths with unspeakable evil and Kurt saw something about it while his wife's attention was fixed on trying to beat him at a game of cards.

Then he tried to tell the world what he'd seen.

That's my way of working up to the point that if Kurt was wrong about what he saw, it's human to err and I don't think anyone who's followed the story would question his integrity; however, if he did see the mystery man then I'd say he's best advised not to pursue the matter further.

He might not agree with me. He notes in his blog post yesterday:
Over the past week, Lori and I have been expecting an announcement by authorities that they have reviewed the Amsterdam airport security footage and found nothing. Well, today we got that announcement.

[...]

We never once thought that we would see an accurate unedited version of the 2-3 minute clip of the terrorist with the "sharp dressed man".

[...]

Over and over again the American public is being spoon fed conclusions by the Federal government and then spoon fed "The Fix to the Problem". At what point is the government going to give the American citizens proof that supports their ultimate conclusion(s)? I am beginning to think never. Please don't forget that the authorities work for the American people, not the other way around. The American public is getting pretty tired of hearing conclusions without proof. This sort of behavior by the federal government breeds a very strong distrust from the American people. I fear a storm is brewing unless we see substantial change in the near future.[...]
Of course he's right but he's speaking about civilization not the Seventh Ring of Hell.

In my last post about Pakistan (December 19 -- Alden Pyle in Pakistan, Part 2: Once upon a time in Saigon and Mumbai), I mentioned that the next one would be to explain something about the country's feudalism. I also mentioned it's really not so much feudal, in the West European sense, as remnants of an imperial system on the Indian subcontinent that should have been in history's dustbin by now. But the system was propped up: first by the British colonialists, then by the U.S. Cold War containment strategists, who, with no idea of what Pakistan's society was like, hit on the idea of turning the newly-independent county into a 'client state.'

Americans did not cause the horror that is today's Pakistan. However, Americans have to learn that you don't spend a generation blindly throwing billions in aid money at a very ruthless ruling class, then be shocked when they turn on you because you shut off the aid spigot.

Yet even if every American of voting age suddenly woke up and marched on Washington over the matter of exactly how and where the U.S. spends its aid money, that won't change the fact that right now we have the Seventh Ring of Hell at our heels.

We're at war, and whether you call it by the name President Bush gave it -- Global War on Terror -- or the name President Obama gave it -- War on a Far-Reaching Network of Violence and Hatred -- war has its own rules, none of which are fair-minded.

As to that "sharp dressed man," if he exists -- I'll turn to the irrepressible Rajeev Srinivasan for closing thoughts:
Given that almost all terrorism ops around the world have the Pakistani spy agency ISI's fingerprints all over them, it is likely that the so-described 'Indian' was in fact a Pakistani. Besides, Pakistani army types (yes, from those 22 feudal families you talk about often, Pundita) are known to be a little vain and prone to dressing rather sharply -- they want to be seen as 'people like us' by Westerners.

Indians, on the other hand, tend to wear ill-cut suits. :-) Since Haskell describes a nattily-dressed middle-aged guy, that is most likely an ISI fellow in an Armani.

It could of course have been an Indian Mohammedan. There is, for instance, crime boss Dawood Ibrahim, a 50-ish Indian, who lives in Dubai and regularly sponsors mayhem in India and wears expensive suits.
UPDATE 1:30 PM ET
Beethovenqueen posted the following comment at RBO, where this entry is crossposted:
"[Glenn] Beck had Haskell on his radio show yesterday and offered to pay for a professional sketch artist. Haskell turned it down, thinking it couldn’t possibly lead to anything. Haskell did wonder why the tape wasn’t simply released to the public immediately, with or without the second man.

So much time has gone by we can’t believe a tape that wouldn’t show a second man anymore – he could have been digitally removed by now."
Case closed.

Tuesday, January 5

(With apologies to Buckaroo Banzai) It's the Indian, stupid: More on the Kurt Haskell - Umar Abdulmutallab story

More on Kurt Haskell's account, and Pundita's theory about what really happened at Schiphol airport prior to takeoff of NWA Flight 253 on December 25.

I'm sorry to report that the anti-Semitic branch of conspiracy theorists, which is determined to pin every terrorist attack going back to the Sack of Rome on Jews, has seized on Kurt Haskell's account of what he witnessed at Schiphol airport before boarding the fateful out of Amsterdam on Christmas. They've stuffed his account into a theory that with the unerring logic of bigotry finds an Israeli airport security firm hitting on the novel method of drumming up business by knowingly allowing a terrorist to board Flight 253.

What I would like to know is when these theorists will admit they're Earth-slumming, dimension-hopping shape-shifting lizards, who've been after the Jews since they discovered the Old Testament contains a warning about their existence among humans and explains how to see through their disguise.

Never mind; it's a rhetorical question, which admittedly I hope becomes the basis for a new branch of conspiracy theory. Although come to think of it, the theory might throw light on the odd secret greeting among certain Iranian Republican Guard officers, which roughly translated from the Farsi means, "When are we going home?" *

With that off my chest I turn to Kurt Haskell's odyssey to have his account of what he witnessed at Schiphol airport taken seriously by authorities. Of course even the most credible witness can be mistaken in his recollection of faces and events. But although it's not a guarantee that Kurt correctly identified Abdulmutallab as the younger man at the Schiphol ticket counter, another part of his account, which was initially rejected by the FBI, was vindicated by U.S. Customs and Border Control on January 1.

That part relates to Kurt's assertion that after disembarking from Flight 253 he saw a second passenger from the same flight handcuffed and led away. At least as it stands now, according to Customs the passenger turned out to be false alarm and he was later released.

The latest is that on January 2 Bo Taylor, who was also a passenger on the December 25 NWA Flight 253, phoned Kurt and told him:
"After we landed in Detroit I saw an older looking teenager who was African and looked NEARLY IDENTICAL to the terrorist bomber. Since he was a minor, and travelling alone, he was accompanied by an airport employee at all times. Kurt, this could have been the guy you saw in Amsterdam before we boarded."
Kurt immediately posted Bo's account to his wife's blog with his response and alerted Michigan news website, MLive, which has stuck with (Michigan resident) Kurt's story, and where Kurt first posted his eyewitness account.

Kurt's response to Bo Taylor's statement was appropriately tactful. He wrote in part:
"I have no reason whatsoever to dispute the veracity of Bo's statement. I also have no reason to not believe what I saw. Two different people can see two different things. [...]"
I do have reason to dispute Bo Taylor's account fut first to review exactly what Kurt Haskell wrote in his original post at MLive, in the early hours of December 26, about what he witnessed at Schiphol airport prior to boarding Flight 253:
An Indian man in a nicely dressed suit around age 50 approached the check in counter with the terrorist and said "This man needs to get on this flight and he has no passport."

The two of them were an odd pair as the terrorist is a short, black man that looked like he was very poor and looks around age 17 (Although I think he is 23 he doesn't look it). It did not cross my mind that they were terrorists, only that the two looked weird together. The ticket taker said "you can't board without a passport".
The Indian man then replied, "He is from Sudan, we do this all the time".

[...] The ticket taker then said "You will have to talk to my manager", and sent the two down a hallway.

I never saw the Indian man again as he wasn't on the flight. It was also weird that the terrorist never said a word in this exchange.[...]
As I've mentioned before, it's clear Kurt was making an assumption that the older man was an Indian based on his type of accented English and how his looks struck Kurt. But in all other respects he gave a straightforward eyewitness account.

When I first learned of Kurt's account I noted that the older man wasn't necessarily an accomplice if the younger man was indeed Abdulmutallab. I speculated that he could have been a legitimate representative of an NGO that helps refugees, or even an embassy employee who'd been duped by AM (Abdulmutallab) or his AQ handlers. The speculation collapsed when I learned the details of the hoops that anyone has to jump through to enter the United States without a passport. From a December 30 Detroit Free Press report:
Only U.S. citizens can board international flights to the United States without passports -- but only after the air carrier otherwise confirms their identity and citizenship, said Chief Ron Smith, spokesman for U.S. Customs and Border Patrol in Detroit.

Smith added that a refugee trying to fly to the United States from another country would also have to have proof of an application for asylum or refugee status, proof of citizenship and identifying documents before the plane could take off.[...]
The hoops pretty much rule out that the older Indian man was a dupe. Any employee of a refugee assistance organization or embassy would have known it was useless to walk up to a NWA counter at virtually the last minute and ask to get a refugee on board a US-bound flight without showing proper documentation, which the Indian didn't do.

So I'm weighted to assume the older Indian man who approached the ticket counter was not on the level. And there was no way he could get the younger man on board the flight without proper documentation unless he thought he could bribe the younger man onto the flight -- a possibility that Kurt Haskell raised in his December 26 statement.

From all that, I can't see how Bo Taylor's account squares with Kurt Haskell's.

There might have been an underage "African" on the flight who looked "nearly identical" to Abdulmutallab, and who was duly escorted by an airline employee, as Taylor claims. But I can't see how that boy was the black male Kurt Haskell says he saw at the ticket counter with an older Indian man.

And the underage "African" boy, if there was one, was not necessarily a refugee; he was being escorted by the airline on the basis of age, according to Taylor. In any event we can assume the boy's papers were all in order if he was being escorted. We can also assume that al Qaeda wouldn't have wanted to risk an airline employee sitting next to Abdulmutallab on the flight by passing him off as underage.

I don't like to cross-examine Bo Taylor. Parts of his account, the ones that list his complaints about how passengers were treated after they disembarked from the flight (see Kurt's January 2 post at his wife's blog), jibe with complaints from Kurt and other passengers who've spoken out about the same issue.

However, at least three passengers other than Kurt have gone on record to state that a passenger was handcuffed and led away after the plane landed. Yet to date none of those other witnesses, nor Kurt, have reported seeing a black African youth who looked "nearly identical" to Abdulmutallab in the holding area after they disembarked and in the company of an airline employee.

That doesn't mean Bo Taylor is lying. It does open the door to the question of whether the African youth Bo described actually looked enough like Abdulmutallab to have drawn attention. To be fair to Bo, it also raises the question of whether many passengers got a good look at Abdulmutallab, before he was tackled and dragged to the front of the plane, to note a striking similarity between his appearance and that of another passenger.

Another problem for me with Bo's account, as Kurt described it, is that it doesn't explain how he knew the youth was an African and underage and that a person accompanying him was an airline employee. Note that Kurt did not peg the man he saw at the airline counter with the older man as an "African." There was no way to tell his nationality; he simply looked like a black youth -- granted, of African descent -- who could have been from any country where such descendents reside, including the USA.

So it would be helpful to know how Bo was able to identify the youth as African and as underage. Did he question the youth or the person he identified as an airline employee or overhear them speaking?

It's still early days since the attack, and I understand the FBI and Customs have a great deal on their plate at this time. Yet I'd think they should pay attention to Bo Taylor's account, in order to assess his claim against Kurt Haskell's account of what he saw at Schiphol. There's always a chance I'm wrong -- that Bo's account does indeed provide an explanation for what Kurt saw at Schiphol. If not -- if his account can be eliminated -- that leaves what could be a very important piece of intelligence inadequately examined.

Is it possible that authorities in Amsterdam and/or the USA are actually giving Kurt's account of the older Indian man the attention it deserves, and just not announcing this? If that were the case I've yet to read that a police sketch artist worked with Kurt to develop a likeness of the older Indian man at Schiphol.

Yet during their interview with him, which took up more than an hour at his law office, the FBI knew that he was a good witness: Kurt recounts that FBI agents showed him a photograph and asked whether this was the man he claimed was the passenger who was handcuffed and led away. Kurt replied that this was indeed the man they said didn't exist. (At that time the FBI was denying his claim that the event had occurred.)

The photograph was of the very same passenger Kurt had seen in handcuffs. So that should have been the agents' cue to ask him to immediately accompany them to their office and work with a police sketch artist/computer sketch specialist to develop a likeness of the older Indian man he claimed to have seen at Schiphol.

Kurt has repeatedly asked that authorities release the two or three minutes of CCTV footage at Schiphol that he refers to. And because Kurt and his wife were prominently placed -- sitting on the floor in front of the check-in counter while playing cards -- they would be an easy reference for the relevant part of the tape.

According to a December 28 Reuters report, the Dutch military police and the Dutch counterterrorism agency were reviewing the CCTV footage in response to Kurt's claim of seeing an Indian man with Abdulmutallab. So far they have not made a follow-up announcement regarding the tape, and it has not been released.

There might be a good explanation for the foot-dragging: maybe the monitor nearest that particular check-in counter wasn't working or wasn't placed in such fashion as to clearly pick up activity to and from that point.

In any event, to the best of my knowledge Kurt has not been asked to work with a police sketch artist and nail down his recollection of the Indian man. Yet that would be important to do, even if the CCTV tape does show the Indian man; the camera can distort and so it's a help to have another reference for the image.

And I wonder if it's occurred to the authorities that they assume too much, if they assume Abdulmutallab donned his bomb prior to arriving at Schiphol. The Indian man could have been an accomplice who handed AM the underwear bomb contraption once he landed at Schiphol.

In summary: if there was an older, wealthy-looking, sharply dressed man who tried to talk Abdulmutallab onto NWA Flight 253 without a passport, it might be crucial that his likeness gets plastered all over the news all over the world. Immediately. But which should have been done a week ago.

Yet instead of taking a routine police action and turning a sketch artist loose, the Amsterdam authorities focused on a red herring, to Kurt's exasperation: the question of whether Abdulmutallab had a valid passport and visa. Yes of course he had both and he showed both in Lagos, Nigeria, before he boarded the flight to Amsterdam. Nigerian authorities have already verified this. And he also had the same valid passport and visa when he was on the NWA Flight 253. The US authorities have verified this.

All that plus 50 cents says nothing about an older man who was accompanying him while he was at Schiphol, according to Kurt Haskell's account.

Thanks to ABC News (and Dan Riehl's sharp eyes), I am no longer thrashing around in the dark about why al Qaeda might have tried to get Abdulmutallab on Flight 253 without having him show his passport. The ABC News investigative team reported on December 31 that contrary to earlier reports, AM's father did not contact the U.S. embassy or the CIA; instead, he contacted officials at Nigeria's intelligence agency. This was after his son phoned him to say that he was calling him for the last time because his SIM card was being destroyed by the people he was with the Yemen.

That was almost certainly a 'tell' that AM was part of a shahid operation that was moving to the launch pad. So the intelligence officials didn't clown around with phone calls or emails. They put the father in a car and drove him to the nearest CIA station, then made sure the station chief heard the father's story.

I think we can assume AM's handlers either heard him make the call to his father, or checked his phone records. Either way, they would have assumed from the call that the authorities were onto him. But the ball was already in play, and they were determined to try for a spectacular terrorist attack on an airplane on Christmas Day.

So it was worth a shot to go ahead with the plan and attempt to get AM on Flight 253. They had nothing to lose and everything to gain by attempting to get him onto the plane without a passport. If that failed they would still go ahead with the plan and trust to luck and the holiday crush at Schiphol that AM wouldn't be flagged.

As to how AM would explain his valid passport and visa at the NWA check-in counter after just posing there as a Sudanese refugee -- why did he need to return to the counter? He had proper documentation and an airline ticket that showed him as a connecting passenger.

All he had to do was rush to the boarding gate at the last minute, haul out his British boarding school accent, and say he lost his boarding pass. After showing his passport and visa he would be on the plane.

As to that other red herring -- that airport security didn't zero in on him -- why would they do that, unless he was on a no-fly list?

There was a funny moment on the Glenn Beck show several week ago when John Bolton and Lord Christopher Monckton were on to discuss the climate change issue. After Chris delivered a little speech debunking the climate change science, Glenn turned to John and asked in amusement, "Why does it always sound so much more convincing when it's said with a British accent?" John burst into laughter and said that was true.

It is indeed true. It's amazing how far an upper-class British accent can carry one in this world. If Haskell's account is correct, Abdulmutallab hammed it up as a dumb Sudanese refugee while his companion tried to talk him onto the plane without a passport. But AM is a very sophisticated, well-traveled, wealthy young man who is more upper-class British than anything else.

As to his clothing, my first thought was that I didn't understand why he didn't dress better. On second thought he was wearing not only clothing that would pass him off as a refugee, but also the uniform of thousands of other young long-distance air travelers: jeans and T-shirt. And all he had to do was speak a few words to make it clear he wasn't from a village in the Terrorist Belt.

That he only had a backpack -- that too is part of the standard uniform for countless travelers. That the ticket was paid for in cash -- a red flag -- was offset by the fact that it was a round trip.

In short there was nothing about Umar Abdulmutallab to make him stand out in the holiday crowd at Amsterdam's international airport. He fit in, and would have passed a routine security check with flying colors.

There's another reason the older Indian man could have been an accomplice. AM had a long way to travel before he reached the final leg of his journey and he'd only had a few months of training with al Qaeda operatives, who are skilled at managing shahid operations. They know that the martyr candidates can have second thoughts as the time draws near. So it's likely that al Qaeda didn't allow AM to make the journey without supplying a handler at the crucial stage, to talk him onto the plane. If Kurt Haskell's account is correct it's a good guess that the older Indian man was the handler.

All this reminds me of a famous motto used by Bill Clinton's presidential election campaign: "It's the economy, stupid." Attention has been fixed on Abdulmutallab ever since he failed to down Flight 253 and on the security issues surrounding his attempt. But I fear that Kurt Haskell's account of the Indian man is getting lost in the shuffle while investigators look high, low, here, there, and everywhere for more clues.

So if I were Kurt I wouldn't wait any longer for the CCTV tape to be released. I'd say, "In for a penny, in for a pound," then I'd hire a sketch artist, or turn to a friend on the police force for help in getting access to a sketch program or artist. Then I'd post on the internet the likeness of the Indian man I remembered. Money says that within 24 hours of the posting the picture would be picked up by blogs all over the internet, and from there it would have a chance to make it onto the nightly news.

At the least, the likeness of the Indian man might jog some memories at intelligence agencies in various parts of the world -- or at an airline facility at Schiphol. For all anyone knows the "wealthy-looking" Indian man could have worked as a baggage handler at the airport, and he might not hold Indian citizenship.

* The classic line from the 1984 cult film, "The Adventures of Buckaroo Banzai Across the 8th Dimension." If not for a Writer's Guild strike and futzing around by the producers and the screenwriter, the film's Red Lectroids -- the shape-shifting, dimension-hopping alien reptiles -- would have beaten out the "V" versions by at least three years, and at least as early as 1980 the plot was all around Hollywood.

So yes, "The Adventures of Buckaroo Banzai ..." was the granddaddy of all the shape-shifting lizard movies and TV series, although that doesn't come close to describing it. After they made "Buckaroo" they broke the mold.

Devotees of David Icke shouldn't be crestfallen; after all, one never knows if Buckaroo's creator wasn't himself a shape-shifting alien reptile. But as to whether Mr Icke has ever mentioned "Buckaroo" to his devotees, many of whom are too young to remember the film, somehow I don't think so.

What is certain is that John Lithgow didn't receive the Academy Award for his performance -- perhaps the funniest on film -- as Italian physicist Dr. Emilio Lizardo, who is actually the demented leader of the Red Lectroids.



At one point, in an effort to rally the rest of the space lizards, Dr Lizardo yells in the manner of a cheerleader, "When are we going home?"

They yell back, "Real soon!"

If they haven't left yet I hope they take Wayne Madsen with them, and real soon; this so I don't have to suffer through more of his latest conspiracy theory, which weaves Kurt Haskell's account into a tale that Abdulmutallab's attack on Flight 253 was actually a false flag operation launched by intelligence agencies in the U.S., India, and Israel in a plot to destabilize Pakistan, and which recasts hero Jasper Schuringa in the role of patsy for the Emir of Dubai.

Wayne has taken on airs since he became a high-ranking member of the Illuminati; I liked him better when he was just a simple, blood-drinking giant lizard from outer space.

Sunday, January 3

Whaddya mean there was no smoking gun, Mr Brennan? More nonsense from Abdulmutallab terror case

Market Watch reports that Deputy National Security Adviser John Brennan, who made the rounds on TV talk shows this morning, told ABC's "This Week" that there was no "smoking gun" or single piece of intelligence that indicated Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab was going to try to mount an attack.

Actually, the CIA had very specific information that pointed directly to an imminent terrorist attack. Before reviewing the information I'll let Mr Brennan continue talking himself out on a limb. From the Market Watch report:
"We had the information that came from his father where he was concerned about his son going to Yemen, consorting with extremists, and that he was not going to go back. We also though had other streams of information coming from intelligence channels that were little snippets," Brennan said [...] "We may have had a partial name, we might have had an indication of a Nigerian, but there was nothing that brought it all together."

He added that the government needs to do a better job of bringing that sort of information together, "so when a father comes in with information and we have intelligence, we can map that up so that we stop individuals like Abdulmutallab from getting on a plane."
You lie, sir, or maybe someone lied to you, or your assistants need to keep you better informed. Kudos to blogger Dan Riehl at Riehl World View for rescuing an important ABC News investigative report, dated December 31, from year-end news cycle oblivion.

ABC ferreted out the truth behind news reports that Umar Abdulmutallab's father alerted the U.S. Embassy about his concern that his son had gotten involved with radicals. The way such reports were worded conveyed the idea that the CIA didn't have a smoking gun to work with. Actually, the CIA had a smoking cannon handed to them.

ABC learned that what really happened is that Umar phoned his father to say he was calling for the last time because the people he was with in Yemen were going to destroy his SIM card. That would make his phone unusable. And that was as much telling his father he was entering the final phase of training for a terrorist suicide mission.

His father immediately alerted Nigerian intelligence officials that he was afraid his son was preparing for a terrorist mission in Yemen. The officials then brought him directly into the presence of the CIA station chief in Abuja on November 19.

So it's not as if some worried father wandered in off the street to unburden himself to a clerk at a U.S. embassy. And note that the Nigerian intelligence officials didn't run the risk of getting trapped in voice mail hell or hearing, 'I'm sorry your email got lost in the shuffle.' They made Double Dutch sure the station chief heard the father's statement and understood its import and urgency.

What happened after the station chief took in the father's account? Report, file, and forget:
The next day the embassy sent out a thin report to U.S. embassies around the world warning Adbulmutallab may be associating with extremists in Yemen. The CIA official compiled two more robust reports following the meeting with the suspect's father. One was sent back to CIA's Langley, VA [headquarters]; the other remained in draft form in Nigeria and was not circulated until after the attempted attack on Christmas Day, according to a U.S. official.[...]
The ABC report also mentions that according to the Yemen government, the CIA station chief did not share the information with Yemeni intelligence officials. So unless Mr Brennan wants to dispute the Yemen government's statement, he also mis-spoke when he told ABC:
"All of the information was shared, except that there are millions upon millions of bits of data that come in on a regular basis," he said. "What we need to do is make sure the system is robust enough that we can bring that information to the surface that really is a threat concern."
No, the information was not properly shared. Now I'm not sure this incident represents a system failure; it could be gross negligence or incompetence on the part of the CIA station chief, which then poisoned the entire communication chain. However, I'm hearing language creeping into intelligence work that properly belongs in science; I find that alarming. Intelligence work is not a scientific field; it's an art that depends on common sense and playing hunches derived from experience.

Common sense shouts to anyone familiar with shahid operations that Umar Abdulmutallab was having second thoughts about being a human bomb but by that time it was too late to back out. He told his father as much as he could with an al Qaeda handler standing there listening, waiting to destroy his SIM card. And Nigerian intelligence officials made damn sure the CIA knew how serious that phone call was, and they got in-person verification that the station chief heard every word of the father's account.